Match Info

Korean Cup - 1/32-finals

Date: 15 July 2026, Wednesday


	Busan Kyotong		Suwon Bluewings

	1	X	2
	3.70	4.00	1.70	Watch
	4.10	3.60	1.66
	4.50	4.25	1.61
	4.19	3.70	1.79
	12.46	4.79	1.28	Watch
	4.05	3.65	1.74
	3.79	4.10	1.74	Watch
	4.20	3.90	1.73
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.12 ↑ (3.58)	4 ↓ (4.12)	1.66 ↓ (1.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Busan Kyotong
18.6%

Draw
23.8%

Suwon Bluewings
57.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.6%

22.3%

52.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25%

21.8%

53.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Busan Kyotong has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Busan Kyotong's form might have worsened.

Suwon Bluewings has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Suwon Bluewings's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Busan Kyotong than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Busan Kyotong, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Suwon Bluewings than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	0%	87.5%

Busan Kyotong - Suwon Bluewings Predictions

Users Predictions: Suwon Bluewings will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
11', 0 - 1, Fessin ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
61', 1 - 1, Rabens J. ⚽,
Extra Time (1 - 0)
104', 2 - 1, Kim Ji-ho (Own goal),

Preview

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

In this match, Suwon Bluewings is the team to beat.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Busan Kyotong FC
South Korean K3 League
11.07.26	Siheung - Busan Kyotong	0:2 ✺
South Korean Cup
05.07.26	Busan Kyotong - Gijang United	2:1 ✺
South Korean K3 League
28.06.26	Busan Kyotong - Daejeon Korail	0:1 ✺
21.06.26	Busan Kyotong - Gyeongju KH&NP	1:1 ✺
06.06.26	Pocheon - Busan Kyotong	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 WWLTT
- Suwon Bluewings
South Korean K-League 2
11.07.26	Ansan Greeners - Suwon Bluewings	2:1 ✺
04.07.26	Suwon Bluewings - Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma	1:0 ✺
06.06.26	Hwaseong - Suwon Bluewings	1:2 ✺
30.05.26	Chungnam Asan - Suwon Bluewings	2:1 ✺
25.05.26	Suwon Bluewings - Cheonan City	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LWWLW

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