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Current Win Probability
Suwon Bluewings 60.4%
Draw 22.7%
Cheonan City 16.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
61.8%
21.5%
16.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
65.7%
22.9%
15.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Suwon Bluewings has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
Cheonan City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Suwon Bluewings than the current prediction. (+5.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Suwon Bluewings, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cheonan City than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
66.7%
0%
33.3%
Suwon Bluewings - Cheonan City Predictions
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Suwon Bluewings will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Cheonan City will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Confidence interval (95%) for Suwon Bluewings: 35.9% – 97.5%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
DC - Cheonan City (2.17) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Cheonan City (votes: 2 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
30. Kim J. (G) 27. Lee Geon-hee 5. Ko Jong-hyun 4. Song Ju-Hun 33. Park Dae-Won 17. Kang Hyun-Muk 14. Jung Ho-yeon 24. Ko Seung-Beom 99. Kim Do-yeon 9. Ilyuchenko S. 10. Reis
21. Park Dae-Han (G) 16. Kim Seong-Ju 6. Choi Kyu-Baek 24. Kwon Yong-seung 27. Park Chang-Woo 99. Bruno Lamas 8. Her Dong-Min 23. Lee Dong-Hyeop 7. Lee Sang-Jun 11. Lee Ji-Hoon 10. Toungara A.
Substitutes
32. Jeong Dong-yun 1. Kim Min-Jun (G) 23. Kim Min-Woo 11. Lee Jun-Jae 92. Lee Sang-min 16. Park Hyun-Bin 96. Paulo Henrique 13. Yeo Min-jun 28. Yoon Geun-yeong
18. Ahn Chang-Min 4. Choi Jun-Hyeok 70. Gustavo Sarjani 42. Ha Jae-min 14. Koo J. 9. Lee Joon-Ho 77. Lee Kyu-Min 20. Lee Sang-Yong 33. Lee Seung-Kyu (G)
Coaches
Lee Jung-Hyo
Park Jin-sub
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
22', 1 - 0, Song Ju-Hun ⚽, Kim Do-yeon (A),
2nd Half (2 - 2)
46', Her Dong-Min ↓, Ha Jae-min ↑,
50', Toungara A. 🟨,
52', Park Chang-Woo 🟨,
57', 1 - 1, Lee Sang-Jun ⚽,
59', Lee Sang-Jun 🟨,
65', Kim Do-yeon ↓, Lee Jun-Jae ↑,
65', Reis ↓, Kim Min-Woo ↑,
65', Park Dae-Won ↓, Paulo Henrique ↑,
69', Lee Ji-Hoon ↓, Lee Joon-Ho ↑,
74', 2 - 1, Ilyuchenko S. ⚽, Lee Geon-hee (A),
78', Lee Sang-Jun ↓, Gustavo Sarjani ↑,
78', Kim Seong-Ju ↓, Choi Jun-Hyeok ↑,
80', Kang Hyun-Muk ↓, Lee Sang-min ↑,
86', 2 - 2, Lee Joon-Ho ⚽, Park Chang-Woo (A),
90+7', 3 - 2, Paulo Henrique ⚽,
Preview
One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ K League 2 (Play Offs: ) and 11).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Suwon Bluewings won 4.
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
Cheonan City may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Suwon Bluewings is the team to beat.
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Suwon Bluewings won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:7. (average 2.3:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Suwon Bluewings won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:3. (average 2:0.8).