Match Info

Super League - Round 23

Date: 9 October 2026, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: Buxoro FA Stadioni (Bukhara) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Choriyev R. (Uzb)


	Buxoro		Andijan

	1	X	2
	2.37	2.95	2.75
	2.2	3	3
	2.37	3.14	3.14
	2.42	3.08	2.86	Watch
	2.3	3.05	3.1
	2.2	3.33	3.07
	2.23	3.1	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.3 ↓ (2.31)	3.09 ↓ (3.32)	3 ↑ (2.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Buxoro
39.8%

Draw
29.6%

Andijan
30.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

39.9%

27.7%

32.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.3%

28%

32.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Buxoro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Andijan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Buxoro than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Andijan than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Buxoro - Andijan Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Khamroev U. (G) 97. Jurabekov S. 5. Kulmatov S. 42. Todorov K. 27. Yuldoshev M. 18. Rajabov O. 25. Esanov S. 7. Mukhtorov K. 78. Rodic V. 22. Joraboev A. 11. Mamasidikov T.	19. Potapov A. (G) 22. Ismonaliev U. 2. Abdumazhidov O. 20. Tukhtakhuzhaev I. 14. Komilov A. 18. Temirov D. 99. Turdimurodov R. 11. Iminov K. 7. Kholdorkhonov P. 27. Boakye M. 33. Abdumannopov D.
Substitutes
1. Abdullaev S. (G) 14. Baratov I. 88. Begic D. 2. Filipovic V. 9. Kacharava N. 77. Kayumov A. 17. Ruziev J. 19. Umarov A. 90. Xikmatov A.	1. Adkhamov E. (G) 10. Ceran D. 5. Gulomov A. 70. Karimov K. 8. Komilov S. 66. Rejabboyev A. 28. Sulaymonov B. 67. Ubaydullaev F. 88. Yorkinboev S.
Coaches
Khomyakov A.	Akhmedov I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
11', 0 - 1, Boakye M. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
64', Todorov K. 🟨,
69', Todorov K. ↓, Kacharava N. ↑,
70', Rajabov O. 🟨,
71', Turdimurodov R. ↓, Ceran D. ↑,
71', Abdumannopov D. ↓, Sulaymonov B. ↑,
73', 0 - 2, Sulaymonov B. ⚽,
75', Rajabov O. ↓, Ruziev J. ↑,
75', Rodic V. ↓, Kayumov A. ↑,
80', 1 - 2, Kacharava N. ⚽, Ruziev J. (A),
84', 2 - 2, Kayumov A. ⚽, Kacharava N. (A),
84', Kayumov A. 🟨,
86', Joraboev A. ↓, Begic D. ↑,
89', Kholdorkhonov P. ↓, Karimov K. ↑,
90+5', 3 - 2, Esanov S. ⚽, Begic D. (A),

Preview

A balanced mid-table encounter with both sides eager to climb into upper positions (ranked 7th and 9th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Buxoro won 0.

Recent results have been tough for Buxoro (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Andijan has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Recently, Andijan has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 14 head-to-head meetings, Buxoro has recorded 4 wins, 3 draws, and 7 losses, with a goal aggregate of 19:22 (averaging 1.4:1.6 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Buxoro against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss, with 11:7 goals (averaging 1.8:1.2 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Buxoro	25	12	5	8	37:32	5	41
10	Andijan	25	9	4	12	30:33	-3	31

Last Results with these Odds

Andijan - the odds 2.84 are the expected chance of winning is 32.42%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Buxoro
Uzbek League
19.09.26	Bunyodkor - Buxoro	2:1 ✺
11.09.26	Buxoro - Navbahor Namangan	1:4 ✺
05.09.26	Qizilqum - Buxoro	3:2 ✺
24.08.26	Kokand 1912 - Buxoro	1:1 ✺
18.08.26	Buxoro - Neftchi Fargona	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 LLLTW
- FK Andijan
Uzbek League
20.09.26	Andijan - Nasaf Qarshi	1:4 ✺
Uzbek Cup
15.09.26	Andijan - Olimpik-Mobiuz	3:2 penalties ✺
Uzbek League
10.09.26	Andijan - Kokand 1912	2:1 ✺
04.09.26	Pakhtakor - Andijan	3:0 ✺
25.08.26	Andijan - Xorazm Urganch	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Uzbek League
27.07.26	Andijan - Buxoro	2:0
01.11.25	Andijan - Buxoro	1:1
13.06.25	Buxoro - Andijan	1:1
01.12.23	Andijan - Buxoro	1:0
23.06.23	Buxoro - Andijan	0:1
25.09.20	Andijan - Buxoro	2:1
15.06.20	Buxoro - Andijan	2:2

Buxoro - Andijan