Match Info

Super League - Round 20

Date: 4 September 2026, Friday

Location: Pakhtakor Central Stadium (Tashkent)

Referee: Rahmonov D. (Uzb)


	Pakhtakor		Andijan

	1	X	2
	1.51	3.90	5.00
	1.48	3.70	5.70
	1.57	4.00	6.57
	1.59	3.87	4.99	Watch
	1.55	3.55	6.50
	1.50	4.02	6.47
	1.50	3.85	5.80
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↓ (1.72)	3.84 ↑ (3.3)	5.86 ↑ (4.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 8.25

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pakhtakor
60.3%

Draw
24%

Andijan
15.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.5%

27.3%

20.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.5%

26.8%

19.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pakhtakor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Pakhtakor's performance.

Andijan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pakhtakor than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Pakhtakor that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Andijan than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	0%	14.3%

Pakhtakor - Andijan Predictions

Users Predictions: Pakhtakor will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
35. Kuvvatov S. (G) 77. Saitov D. 4. Tahseen Z. 55. Abdumazhidov M. 7. Alizhonov K. 10. Mozgovoy A. 23. Buriev A. 21. Resan B. 27. Sobirkhuzhaev S. 50. Flamarion 29. Hussein A.	19. Potapov A. (G) 14. Komilov A. 15. Calasan N. 20. Tukhtakhuzhaev I. 22. Ismonaliev U. 26. Toirov M. 18. Temirov D. 23. Abdumannopov D. 8. Komilov S. 9. Ashortia I. 99. Turdimurodov R.
Substitutes
16. Abdukarimov M. 90. Chinedu S. 37. Farkhodov F. 9. Ibrokhimov I. 6. Mirkobilov S. 15. Muradov A. 34. Nasrullaev S. 12. Nazarov V. (G) 63. Urinboev Y.	2. Abdumazhidov O. 1. Adkhamov E. (G) 27. Boakye M. 10. Ceran D. 5. Gulomov A. 11. Iminov K. 7. Kholdorkhonov P. 28. Sulaymonov B. 88. Yorkinboev S.
Coaches
Tadzhiev K.	Akhmedov I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
21', 1 - 0, Tahseen Z. ⚽,
29', 2 - 0, Sobirkhuzhaev S. ⚽, Resan B. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Komilov S. ↓, Iminov K. ↑,
46', Ashortia I. ↓, Kholdorkhonov P. ↑,
59', Potapov A. 🟥,
63', Komilov A. ↓, Adkhamov E. ↑,
64', Turdimurodov R. ↓, Boakye M. ↑,
69', Flamarion ↓, Ibrokhimov I. ↑,
69', 3 - 0, Abdumazhidov M. ⚽,
70', Abdumannopov D. ↓, Sulaymonov B. ↑,
76', 🟨,
85', Hussein A. ↓, Chinedu S. ↑,
85', Resan B. ↓, Nasrullaev S. ↑,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2 and 7).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pakhtakor won 3.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Pakhtakor may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Pakhtakor is the team to beat.

In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Pakhtakor won 12 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 38:13. (average 2.1:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Pakhtakor won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 22:7. (average 2.8:0.9).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Pakhtakor	22	14	7	1	39:20	19	49
9	Andijan	22	9	3	10	27:28	-1	30

Last Results with these Odds

Pakhtakor - the odds 1.72 are the expected chance of winning is 52.49%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pakhtakor Tashkent
Uzbek Cup
29.08.26	Neftchi Fargona - Pakhtakor	1:0 ✺
Uzbek League
25.08.26	Dinamo Samarqand - Pakhtakor	1:1 ✺
21.08.26	Pakhtakor - Surkhon Termez	0:0 ✺
16.08.26	Nasaf Qarshi - Pakhtakor	1:2 ✺
AFC Champions League
11.08.26	Pakhtakor - Al-Hussein Irbid	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LTTWW
- FK Andijan
Uzbek League
25.08.26	Andijan - Xorazm Urganch	1:0 ✺
19.08.26	Mashal Mubarek - Andijan	0:1 ✺
13.08.26	Andijan - Neftchi Fargona	0:3 ✺
06.08.26	Sogdiana Jizzakh - Andijan	1:0 ✺
01.08.26	Andijan - Pakhtakor	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WWLLT

Latest Head to Head

Uzbek League
01.08.26	Andijan - Pakhtakor	0:0
22.08.25	Andijan - Pakhtakor	2:6
13.04.25	Pakhtakor - Andijan	2:3
31.10.24	Pakhtakor - Andijan	3:1
02.06.24	Andijan - Pakhtakor	1:3
08.10.23	Andijan - Pakhtakor	1:0
29.06.23	Pakhtakor - Andijan	1:1

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