Match Info

Date: 8 February 2022, Tuesday


	Buxton		Basford United

	1	X	2
	1.53	4	4.75
	1.52	3.95	5
	1.54	4.17	5.65
	1.47	3.75	6
	1.53	4.1	5.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↓ (1.55)	3.99 ↓ (4)	5.37 ↑ (4.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Buxton
60.1%

Draw
22.9%

Basford United
17%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.5%

22.7%

18.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.7%

14.6%

29.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Buxton has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Basford United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Buxton than the current prediction. (-22.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Buxton that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Basford United than the current prediction. (+12.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Basford United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Buxton - Basford United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL Premier Division (Play Offs) and 13).

Recent matches Buxton is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Basford is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Buxton could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Buxton is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Buxton won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Buxton won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Buxton FC
English NPL Premier Division
05.02.22	Buxton - South Shields	2:2 ✺
29.01.22	Hyde United - Buxton	1:2 ✺
22.01.22	Morpeth Town - Buxton	3:0 ✺
15.01.22	Buxton - Warrington Town	3:3 ✺
11.01.22	Scarborough Athletic - Buxton	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 TWLTL
- Basford United
English NPL Premier Division
29.01.22	Basford United - Morpeth Town	1:2 ✺
22.01.22	Basford United - Nantwich Town	1:0 ✺
15.01.22	Gainsborough Trinity - Basford United	1:0 ✺
08.01.22	Scarborough Athletic - Basford United	3:0 ✺
01.01.22	Basford United - Grantham Town	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

English NPL Premier Division
12.10.21	Basford United - Buxton	1:3
07.03.20	Basford United - Buxton	0:2
09.03.19	Basford United - Buxton	2:0
04.09.18	Buxton - Basford United	1:0

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