Match Info

Date: 22 January 2022, Saturday


	Morpeth Town		Buxton

	1	X	2
	2.95	3.5	2
	2.9	3.65	2.04
	3	3.9	2.11
	2.9	3.6	2
	2.92	3.65	2.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.93 ↓ (3.39)	3.66 ↓ (3.67)	2.06 ↑ (1.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Morpeth Town
31%

Draw
24.9%

Buxton
44.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.7%

24.7%

48.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.6%

16.2%

32%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Morpeth Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

Buxton has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Morpeth Town than the current prediction. (+9.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Morpeth Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Buxton than the current prediction. (-12.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Buxton, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Morpeth Town - Buxton Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 12 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL Premier Division (Play Offs)).

Morpeth is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Buxton has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Buxton could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Buxton will have a poor advantage in this game.

Our prediction for today's Morpeth to win the game is with odds 3.08.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Morpeth won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Morpeth won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Morpeth Town
English FA Trophy
15.01.22	Morpeth Town - Boston United	4:3 ✺
English NPL Premier Division
11.01.22	Ashton United - Morpeth Town	1:2 ✺
08.01.22	Morpeth Town - Stafford Rangers	2:2 ✺
01.01.22	Morpeth Town - Whitby Town	2:0 ✺
27.12.21	Scarborough Athletic - Morpeth Town	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.5 WWTWT
- Buxton FC
English NPL Premier Division
15.01.22	Buxton - Warrington Town	3:3 ✺
11.01.22	Scarborough Athletic - Buxton	2:1 ✺
01.01.22	Buxton - Stafford Rangers	2:3 ✺
27.12.21	Matlock Town - Buxton	2:1 ✺
18.12.21	Buxton - United of Manchester	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 TLLLL

Latest Head to Head

English NPL Premier Division
25.09.21	Buxton - Morpeth Town	2:2
11.01.20	Buxton - Morpeth Town	2:3
14.09.19	Morpeth Town - Buxton	2:1

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