Match Info

National League North - Round 4

Date: 22 August 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: The Silverlands (Buxton) 🌤️ ...


	Buxton		Hebburn Town

	1	X	2
	1.53	3.60	5.25
	1.50	3.90	5.25
	1.49	3.95	5.25
	1.53	4.31	5.55
	1.49	4.36	5.93	Watch
	1.51	4.25	5.45
	1.47	4.15	5.59
	1.51	4.00	5.20
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↓ (1.64)	4.07 ↑ (4.03)	5.43 ↑ (4.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Buxton
60.7%

Draw
22.5%

Hebburn Town
16.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

56.6%

23%

20.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.4%

22.3%

19.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Buxton has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

Hebburn Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Buxton than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hebburn Town than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

Buxton - Hebburn Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
9', 0 - 1, Charles J. ⚽,
24', 1 - 1, Tuntulwana S. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
66', 1 - 2, Charles J. ⚽,

Preview

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

In this match, Buxton is the obvious favorite.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Buxton	14	7	2	5	26:23	3	23
13	Hebburn Town	13	5	4	4	18:23	-5	19

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Buxton FC
English National League North
18.08.26	Bedford Town - Buxton	2:1 ✺
15.08.26	Southport - Buxton	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
25.07.26	Dagenham & Redbridge - Buxton	Canceled ✺
21.07.26	Buxton - Scunthorpe United	2:0 ✺
10.07.26	Buxton - Ashton United	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 LT?WW
- Hebburn Town
English National League North
18.08.26	Hebburn Town - Worksop Town	1:0 ✺
15.08.26	Brackley Town - Hebburn Town	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
01.08.26	Blyth Spartans - Hebburn Town	2:4 ✺
21.07.26	Hebburn Town - Hartlepool United	2:3 ✺
18.07.26	Morpeth Town - Hebburn Town	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WTWLT

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Buxton FC
English National League North
31.10.26	Buxton - Marine	✺
- Hebburn Town
English National League North
31.10.26	Hebburn Town - Harborough Town	✺

Buxton - Hebburn Town