Match Info

National League North - Round 2

Date: 15 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Haig Avenue (Southport)


	Southport		Buxton

	1	X	2
	2.7	3.4	2.25
	2.55	3.20	2.37
	2.72	3.25	2.32
	2.92	3.45	2.32
	2.75	3.43	2.41	Watch
	2.85	3.35	2.25
	2.8	3.52	2.34
	2.7	3.3	2.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.75 ↓ (2.77)	3.36 ↓ (3.59)	2.32 ↑ (2.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Southport
33.3%

Draw
27.2%

Buxton
39.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

33.5%

25.8%

40.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Southport has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Buxton has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Southport - Buxton Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
18', 1 - 0, McKenzie M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
63', 🟥,
90+2', 1 - 1, Burton K. ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Southport won 3.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Southport won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:14. (average 1.4:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Southport won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:8. (average 1.5:2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Buxton	12	5	2	5	20:21	-1	17
22	Southport	12	2	3	7	13:23	-10	9

Outrights of English National League North for now

Buxton: 3.48% Southport: 0.73%

Last Results with these Odds

Buxton - the odds 2.28 are the expected chance of winning is 40.68%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Southport
Club Friendly
31.07.26	Southport - Wigan Athletic	0:0 ✺
25.07.26	Warrington Town - Southport	2:3 ✺
24.07.26	Southport - United of Manchester	2:0 ✺
English National League North
25.04.26	Southport - AFC Telford United	2:0 ✺
21.04.26	Macclesfield Town - Southport	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.6 TWWWL
- Buxton FC
Club Friendly
25.07.26	Dagenham & Redbridge - Buxton	Canceled ✺
21.07.26	Buxton - Scunthorpe United	2:0 ✺
10.07.26	Buxton - Ashton United	1:0 ✺
English National League North
02.05.26	South Shields - Buxton	1:0 ✺
28.04.26	Buxton - Scarborough Athletic	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 ?WWLW

Latest Head to Head

English National League North
17.02.26	Southport - Buxton	0:0
English FA Trophy
15.11.25	Buxton - Southport	2:3
English National League North
04.11.25	Buxton - Southport	1:2
01.02.25	Buxton - Southport	2:1
31.08.24	Southport - Buxton	3:2
23.03.24	Southport - Buxton	2:2
25.11.23	Buxton - Southport	0:1

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