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Current Win Probability
Buxton 67.7%
Draw 18.5%
Ashton United 13.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
67%
19.8%
13.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
71.3%
18.6%
12.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Buxton has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)
Ashton United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Buxton than the current prediction. (+3.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ashton United than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
Buxton - Ashton United Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
Preview
Replayed if draw.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Buxton won 3.
Buxton is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Ashton is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Ashton could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Buxton holds a commanding advantage according to the oddsmakers.
Our forecast points to a victory for Buxton in today's match, at odds of 1.36.
In the last 16 head-to-head meetings, Buxton has recorded 8 wins, 2 draws, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 28:20 (averaging 1.8:1.3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Buxton against this opponent, the record stands at 6 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, with 18:11 goals (averaging 1.8:1.1 per game).
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