Match Info

SPAIN: Tercera RFEF - Group 12 - Round 17

Date: 11 January 2025, Saturday


	Buzanada		Arucas

	1	X	2
	2.3	2.9	2.85
	2.44	3	2.8
	2.43	3.12	2.81
	2.42	2.99	2.76
	2.44	3	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.41 ↓ (2.85)	3 ↑ (2.78)	2.8 ↑ (2.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Buzanada
37.6%

Draw
30.1%

Arucas
32.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.7%

32.6%

35.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.7%

32.6%

35.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Buzanada has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Buzanada's performance.

Arucas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Buzanada than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Buzanada that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arucas than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

Buzanada - Arucas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

(1 - 5)

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Buzanada
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 12
22.12.24	UD San Fernando - Buzanada	2:1 ✺
14.12.24	Buzanada - Unión Viera	1:1 ✺
06.12.24	Estrella - Buzanada	1:0 ✺
29.11.24	Buzanada - Arcángel San Miguel	0:1 ✺
22.11.24	Ibarra - Buzanada	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LTLLL
- Arucas CF
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 12
21.12.24	Arucas - Marino	1:1 ✺
15.12.24	Mensajero - Arucas	0:0 ✺
06.12.24	Arucas - Lanzarote	2:3 ✺
29.11.24	Villa de Santa Brígida - Arucas	0:2 ✺
24.11.24	UD San Fernando - Arucas	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 TTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 12
27.01.24	Buzanada - Arucas	2:2
10.09.23	Arucas - Buzanada	2:0
13.03.22	Buzanada - Arucas	4:1
30.10.21	Arucas - Buzanada	2:0

Buzanada - Arucas: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide