Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 12 - Round 16

Date: 4 January 2026, Sunday


	Mensajero		Arucas

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.2	3.6
	1.72	3.45	4.05
	1.81	3.38	4.19
	1.8	3.2	4.2
	1.78	3.36	4.13
	1.8	3.25	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.8 ↓ (7.5)	3.31 ↓ (4.25)	4.06 ↑ (1.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mensajero
50.3%

Draw
27.4%

Arucas
22.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

12%

21.2%

66.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mensajero has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+38.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mensajero's performance.

Arucas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-44.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Arucas might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Mensajero - Arucas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 2)
9', 1 - 0, Tahri M. ⚽,
20', 2 - 0, Grande D. ⚽,
41', 3 - 0, Ojeda Gil J. A. ⚽,
44', 3 - 1, ⚽,
45+4', 3 - 2, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
52', 4 - 2, Barroso Santana M. ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 8 and 13).

Arucas has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Recently, Arucas has had a series of home games.

In this match, Mensajero is the team to beat.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Mensajero won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:3. (average 1.3:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Mensajero won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Mensajero	4	3	0	1	4:2	2	9

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Mensajero
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 12
20.12.25	Villa de Santa Brígida - Mensajero	1:0 ✺
06.12.25	Arcángel San Miguel - Mensajero	0:0 ✺
16.11.25	Tenisca - Mensajero	0:2 ✺
09.11.25	Mensajero - Real Unión	2:0 ✺
01.11.25	Tamaraceite - Mensajero	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LTWWT
- Arucas CF
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 12
20.12.25	Arucas - Tenerife C	2:2 ✺
06.12.25	Arucas - UD San Fernando	2:1 ✺
22.11.25	Arucas - Lanzarote	3:1 ✺
14.11.25	Villa de Santa Brígida - Arucas	1:0 ✺
08.11.25	Arucas - Unión Sur Yaiza	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 TWWLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 12
26.04.25	Arucas - Mensajero	0:0
15.12.24	Mensajero - Arucas	0:0
05.03.23	Mensajero - Arucas	2:1
29.10.22	Arucas - Mensajero	2:3

Mensajero - Arucas: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide