Match Info

NORWAY: NM CUP - 1/32-FINALS

Date: 1 June 2023, Thursday


	Bærum		Skeid

	1	X	2
	2.25	4	2.5
	2.2	3.6	2.55
	2.3	3.4	2.6
	2.29	3.45	2.36
	2.25	3.6	2.55
	2.38	4	2.59
	2.16	4	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.26 ↓ (4.37)	3.72 ↓ (4.23)	2.54 ↑ (1.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bærum
40%

Draw
24.3%

Skeid
35.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.7%

21.4%

58%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.1%

20%

54.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bærum has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+19.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Bærum's performance.

Skeid has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-22.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Skeid might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bærum than the current prediction. (-17.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Bærum that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Skeid than the current prediction. (+18.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Skeid could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
70%	10%	20%

Bærum - Skeid Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Bærum will win (votes: 7 - 70%). Skeid will win (votes: 2 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bærum: 41.6% – 98.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Bærum is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Skeid is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Skeid could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Skeid is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Bærum won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 3-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Bærum won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bærum Sportsklubb
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 2
28.05.23	Bærum - Junkeren	3:3 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
24.05.23	Asker Fotball - Bærum	0:2 ✺
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 2
14.05.23	Brann 2 - Bærum	2:3 ✺
06.05.23	Bærum - Alta	4:3 ✺
29.04.23	Strømmen - Bærum	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 TWWWL
- Skeid Fotball
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
29.05.23	Kristiansund - Skeid	2:2 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
24.05.23	Holmlia - Skeid	0:2 ✺
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
21.05.23	Skeid - Mjøndalen	0:2 ✺
16.05.23	Kongsvinger - Skeid	5:0 ✺
13.05.23	Skeid - Start	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 TWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
29.05.21	Skeid - Bærum	3:0
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 1
14.10.17	Skeid - Bærum	5:3
01.07.17	Bærum - Skeid	0:1

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