Match Info

NORWAY: OBOS-LIGAEN - ROUND 10

Date: 29 May 2023, Monday

Location: Kristiansund Stadion (Kristiansand)

Referee: Haugen J. (Nor)


	Kristiansund		Skeid

	1	X	2
	1.5	5	5.5	Watch
	1.49	4.4	5.25
	1.47	4.7	5.6
	1.48	4.89	5.83
	1.44	4.2	5.5
	1.48	4.8	5.75	Watch
	1.45	4.6	5.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↓ (1.61)	4.66 ↑ (3.85)	5.55 ↑ (4.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kristiansund
63.2%

Draw
20%

Skeid
16.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.2%

23.9%

18.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.7%

23.3%

18.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kristiansund has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Kristiansund's performance.

Skeid has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kristiansund than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Skeid than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
64.3%	14.3%	21.4%

Kristiansund - Skeid Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Kristiansund will win (votes: 9 - 64.3%). Skeid will win (votes: 3 - 21.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 14.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kristiansund: 39.2% – 89.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. McDermott S. (G) 26. Williamsen M. 5. Ulvestad D. (C) 19. Coly A. 37. Sivertsen O. 21. Broholm M. 6. Hopmark A. 8. Kartum S. 7. Gjertsen T. 11. Mawa M. 9. Stokke B.	12. Nilsen S. (G) 14. Andresen H. 4. Steiring P. 17. Altai H. 11. Hickson D. 8. Melchior M. 2. Naustdal T. 39. Rise B. (C) 27. Hoven K. 9. Buduson J. 7. Ness U.
Substitutes
24. Agbo D. 31. Alvheim L. 14. Isaksen J. 16. Konradsen Ceide M. 30. Mbaye S. (G) 2. Nilsen S. 13. Olsen M. 15. Rakneberg M. 29. Weidel M.	22. Aas S. 16. Effiom M. 3. Flo F. 5. Johansen A. 1. Kvarekval L. (G) 20. Vinje F.
Coaches
Michelsen C.	Holme G.

Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Eliteserien and 15 in the zone Relegation).

Kristiansund is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Skeid is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Kristiansund could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Kristiansund is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Kristiansund to win the game is with odds 1.54.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kristiansund BK
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
21.05.23	Jerv - Kristiansund	1:1 ✺
16.05.23	Kristiansund - Ranheim	3:2 ✺
12.05.23	Sandnes Ulf - Kristiansund	1:1 ✺
06.05.23	Kristiansund - Bryne	3:1 ✺
03.05.23	Kristiansund - Sogndal	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 TWTWW
- Skeid Fotball
Norwegian NM Cup
24.05.23	Holmlia - Skeid	0:2 ✺
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
21.05.23	Skeid - Mjøndalen	0:2 ✺
16.05.23	Kongsvinger - Skeid	5:0 ✺
13.05.23	Skeid - Start	1:4 ✺
07.05.23	Fredrikstad - Skeid	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WLLLT

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