Match Info

Division 2 - Relegation - Play Offs - Final

Date: 15 June 2025, Sunday


	Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński		Olimpia Grudziądz

	1	X	2
	2.8	3.5	2.1
	2.73	3.5	2
				Watch
	2.9	3.72	2.06
	2.71	3.4	1.93
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.79 ↓ (2.93)	3.53 ↓ (3.8)	2.02 (2.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński
31.6%

Draw
24.9%

Olimpia Grudziądz
43.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31%

23.9%

45%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.4%

22.2%

41.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Olimpia Grudziądz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Olimpia Grudziądz than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński - Olimpia Grudziądz Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Steffen A. (G) 21. Fadecki W. 20. Fiedosewicz N. 11. Ignasiak M. 27. Kaminski J. 15. Kowalik O. 9. Niedojad-Bednarczyk D. 3. Piotrowski M. 14. Pralat A. 10. Prawucki K. (C) 24. Staniak M.	30. Gorski K. (G) 44. Frelek D. (C) 7. Kaczmarek T. 77. Kobryn R. 72. Koperski F. 11. Krocz S. 26. Sewerzynski O. 6. Sikorski O. 93. Tsyupa I. 17. Wojcik F. 25. Zbiciak B.
Substitutes
. Czarnota O. (G) . Jarzebinski M. 7. Liskiewicz M. . Marczak M. . Michalak L. . Ogielski M. . Ogrodowski M. . Pawlowski D. 8. Starzycki B.	21. Bonikowski J. 33. Budchan E. (G) 20. Chmarek M. 10. Cichon K. 14. Gutowski K. 15. Koncewicz-Zylka P. 2. Maruszak I. 9. Mas M. 29. Rychert K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
14', 🟨,
17', Kaminski J. 🟨,
42', Wojcik F. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
54', Zbiciak B. 🟨,
57', Tsyupa I. 🟨,
59', Kaminski J. 🟨,
68', Pralat A. ↓, Jarzebinski M. ↑,
69', Frelek D. ↓, Gutowski K. ↑,
69', Kaczmarek T. ↓, Cichon K. ↑,
75', Niedojad-Bednarczyk D. ↓, Marczak M. ↑,
78', 0 - 1, Krocz S. ⚽,
79', Tsyupa I. ↓, Mas M. ↑,
79', Kobryn R. ↓, Maruszak I. ↑,
80', 🟨,
83', Ignasiak M. ↓, Starzycki B. ↑,
90+1', 0 - 2, ⚽,
90+6', 🟨,

Preview

1st leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Stargard won 1.

Stargard has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Olimpia is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Stargard may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Olimpia might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Stargard won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 11:24. (average 1.2:2.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Stargard won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 3:12. (average 0.8:3).

Last Results with these Odds

Olimpia Grudziądz - the odds 2.02 are the expected chance of winning is 45.02%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński
Polish Division 2
11.06.25	Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński - Kluczbork	3:0 ✺
Polish Division 3 - Group II
07.06.25	Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński - Gryf Słupsk	4:0 ✺
31.05.25	Lech Poznań 2 - Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński	2:4 ✺
25.05.25	Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński - Noteć Czarnków	5:1 ✺
21.05.25	Flota Świnoujście - Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 WWWWW
- Olimpia Grudziądz
Polish Division 2
07.06.25	Chojniczanka Chojnice - Olimpia Grudziądz	4:1 ✺
31.05.25	Olimpia Grudziądz - Wieczysta Kraków	1:3 ✺
23.05.25	Wisła Puławy - Olimpia Grudziądz	0:0 ✺
16.05.25	Olimpia Grudziądz - Skra Częstochowa	2:1 ✺
10.05.25	Swit Skolwin - Olimpia Grudziądz	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
08.02.25	Olimpia Grudziądz - Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński	3:4
Polish Division 3 - Group II
10.06.23	Olimpia Grudziądz - Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński	1:0
12.11.22	Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński - Olimpia Grudziądz	0:4
01.05.22	Olimpia Grudziądz - Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński	3:1
25.09.21	Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński - Olimpia Grudziądz	0:3
Polish Division 2
08.05.21	Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński - Olimpia Grudziądz	2:3
14.11.20	Olimpia Grudziądz - Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński	2:2

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