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Current Win Probability
Swit Skolwin 20.6%
Draw 22.2%
Olimpia Grudziądz 57.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
26.4%
26.8%
46.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
25.2%
25.6%
49.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Swit Skolwin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Swit Skolwin's form might have worsened.
Olimpia Grudziądz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Olimpia Grudziądz's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Swit Skolwin than the current prediction. (+4.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Olimpia Grudziądz than the current prediction. (-8.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Olimpia Grudziądz, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Swit Skolwin - Olimpia Grudziądz Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
72. Szpaler W. (G) 80. Aftyka G. 5. Goral J. 13. Kapelusz S. 10. Kort D. 23. Nowicki S. 32. Obst R. 4. Rogala S. 9. Ropski K. 15. Wojdak K. 22. Wozniak A.
71. Sobolewski S. (G) 14. Brzek B. 10. Cichon K. 16. Fietz K. 44. Frelek D. 18. Jarzec K. 3. Klimczak A. 72. Koperski F. 13. Moneta L. 69. Pawlowski M. 32. Stolc P.
Substitutes
20. Ciechanowski D. 77. Dziuniak A. 26. Klon O. (G) 8. Koziara M. 33. Kriegler B. 14. Lebedynski M. 6. Maszalo K. 11. Nowak K. . Zan S.
5. Czajka B. 7. Kaczmarek T. 42. Kardas A. 77. Kobryn R. 9. Mas M. 80. Olszak D. (G) 26. Sewerzynski O. 17. Siemaszko A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
18', Koperski F. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
48', Wozniak A. 🟨,
61', Moneta L. ↓, Siemaszko A. ↑,
65', 0 - 1, Pawlowski M. ⚽,
76', Kapelusz S. ↓, Koziara M. ↑,
76', Nowicki S. ↓, Nowak K. ↑,
80', Nowicki S. ↓, Ciechanowski D. ↑,
80', Aftyka G. ↓, Lebedynski M. ↑,
81', Jarzec K. 🟨,
84', Klimczak A. ↓, Kobryn R. ↑,
90+2', Jarzec K. ↓, Kaczmarek T. ↑,
90+2', Pawlowski M. ↓, Mas M. ↑,
90+5', Wojdak K. 🟨,
90+6', Sobolewski S. 🟨,
Preview
Olimpia is Qualified for Division 2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs )
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Swit Skolwin won 2.
Swit Skolwin is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Olimpia's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
In this match, Olimpia is seen as the favorite.
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Swit Skolwin won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:7. (average 1.1:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Swit Skolwin won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 1.3:0.3).
Poland
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Szpaler W. (G) 
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