Match Info

LaLiga2 - Round 39

Date: 8 May 2026, Friday

Location: JP Financial Estadio (Cadiz)

Referee: Arcediano D. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Life
Argentina	Disney+, DSports 6
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect
Brazil	Disney+
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	Arena Sport 7, MAXtv To Go
Ecuador	DSports 6
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 8, Free
Greece	Nova Sports Start
Indonesia	beIN Connect, Vidio
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Sports 2
Mexico	Izzi TV, Sky Sport
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte
Peru	Disney+
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Romania	Prima Sport PPV 1
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	Arena Sport 1x2
Singapore	beIN Sports 2
Slovenia	Arena Sport 4
South-america	DGO Latin America
Spain	DAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion
Thailand	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Turkey	S Sport+
United-kingdom	Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	Disney+, DSports 6
Venezuela	Disney+


	Cádiz		Deportivo A Coruña

	1	X	2
	4.1	3.7	1.79	Watch
	3.3	3.3	2
	3.95	3.45	1.85	Watch
	4.3	3.65	1.91
	4.22	3.53	1.88	Watch
	4	3.3	1.85
	4.34	3.72	1.81	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.03 ↑ (3.49)	3.52 ↑ (3.36)	1.87 ↓ (2.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cádiz
23.3%

Draw
26.6%

Deportivo A Coruña
50.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27%

28%

45%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.3%

27.3%

46.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cádiz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Deportivo A Coruña has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Deportivo A Coruña's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cádiz than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo A Coruña than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
8.7%	4.3%	87%

Cádiz - Deportivo A Coruña Predictions

Users Predictions: Deportivo A Coruña will win (20 of 23 users predict this - 86.96%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.2% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Deportivo A Coruña will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Gil D. (G) 34. Diaz Peregrina J. 14. Kovacevic B. 27. Fernandez P. 21. Climent M. 15. Ortuno S. 24. Gonzalez J. 11. Suso 8. Fernandez A. (C) 16. Cordero A. 23. Pascual A.	25. Fernandez A. (G) 23. Navarro X. 4. Noubi L. 15. Loureiro M. 12. Quagliata G. 2. Altimira A. 8. Villares D. (C) 21. Soriano M. 19. Cruz Luismi 10. Hernandez Y. 32. Nsongo B.
Substitutes
38. Arribas S. 13. Aznar V. (G) 29. Caicedo A. 17. Camara D. 19. de la Rosa J. 5. Diakite M. 37. Domina J. 3. Kouame R. 9. Marti R. 2. Moreno J. 10. Ocampo B. 7. Perez L.	5. Barcia D. 37. Carillo N. 3. Comas A. 9. Eddahchouri Z. 18. Escudero S. 17. Herrera C. 20. Jurado J. 7. Mulattieri S. 1. Parreno G. (G) 6. Patino C. 14. Rodriguez R. 22. Stoichkov
Coaches
Idiakez I.	Hidalgo A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
18', Noubi L. 🟨,
20', Gonzalez J. ↓, Diakite M. ↑,
45+2', Hernandez Y. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Noubi L. ↓, Comas A. ↑,
67', Suso ↓, Perez L. ↑,
67', Fernandez A. ↓, Ocampo B. ↑,
74', Fernandez P. 🟨,
74', Cruz Luismi ↓, Carillo N. ↑,
74', Nsongo B. ↓, Eddahchouri Z. ↑,
79', Cordero A. ↓, de la Rosa J. ↑,
80', Pascual A. ↓, Marti R. ↑,
81', Quagliata G. ↓, Escudero S. ↑,
86', Hernandez Y. ↓, Stoichkov ↑,
88', 0 - 1, Stoichkov ⚽, Escudero S. (A),
89', Carillo N. 🟨,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 18 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cádiz won 0.

Cádiz has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Deportivo is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Deportivo could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Cádiz: Carcelen I. (Knee Injury) Ontiveros J. (Heel Injury) Recio I. (Yellow Cards) Tabatadze I. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Deportivo: Mella D. (Knee Injury)

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Cádiz won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:9. (average 1.1:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Cádiz won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 1.7:1.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
19	Cadiz CF	8	1	4	3	11:10	1	7

Last Results with these Odds

Cádiz - the odds 3.49 are the expected chance of winning is 26.99%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cádiz CF
Spanish LaLiga2
02.05.26	Leonesa - Cádiz	2:2 ✺
27.04.26	Cádiz - Las Palmas	1:2 ✺
19.04.26	Sporting de Gijón - Cádiz	3:0 ✺
12.04.26	Cádiz - FC Andorra	0:1 ✺
04.04.26	Cádiz - Córdoba	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 TLLLL
- Deportivo A Coruña
Spanish LaLiga2
01.05.26	Deportivo A Coruña - Leganés	2:1 ✺
25.04.26	Burgos - Deportivo A Coruña	1:1 ✺
20.04.26	Deportivo A Coruña - Mirandés	3:1 ✺
12.04.26	Huesca - Deportivo A Coruña	1:1 ✺
04.04.26	Deportivo A Coruña - Málaga	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WTWTT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
04.01.26	Deportivo A Coruña - Cádiz	2:2
06.04.25	Deportivo A Coruña - Cádiz	1:0
30.11.24	Cádiz - Deportivo A Coruña	2:4
19.01.20	Deportivo A Coruña - Cádiz	1:0
21.09.19	Cádiz - Deportivo A Coruña	0:0
12.05.19	Deportivo A Coruña - Cádiz	1:1
22.12.18	Cádiz - Deportivo A Coruña	3:0

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