Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 8

Date: 24 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Céltiga		Somozas

	1	X	2
	2.75	2.70	2.50
	2.75	2.75	2.52
	2.81	2.81	2.55
	2.81	2.92	2.57	Watch
	2.75	2.75	2.5
	2.72	2.86	2.47
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.77 ↑ (2.24)	2.8 ↓ (3.1)	2.52 ↓ (3.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Céltiga
32.4%

Draw
32%

Somozas
35.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

41.1%

29.7%

29.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Céltiga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Céltiga's form might have worsened.

Somozas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Somozas's recent form is better than expected.

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
81', 1 - 0, ⚽,
85', 1 - 1, ⚽,
90+2', 🟥,
90+4', (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

A clash between a stable mid-table side and a team seeking crucial survival points (ranked 12th and 16th in the Relegation).

Somozas could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Céltiga has recorded 1 win, 2 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 6:1 (averaging 2:0.3 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Céltiga against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 5:0 goals.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
13	Celtiga	8	2	4	2	8:8	0	10
15	Somozas	8	1	4	3	7:9	-2	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Céltiga FC
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
18.10.26	Gran Peña - Céltiga	1:2 ✺
27.09.26	Céltiga - Estradense	2:0 ✺
12.09.26	Céltiga - Boiro	0:2 ✺
06.09.26	Silva SD - Céltiga	1:1 ✺
10.05.26	Arosa - Céltiga	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 WWLTL
- UD Somozas
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
10.10.26	Atlético Arteixo - Somozas	2:2 ✺
26.09.26	Antela - Somozas	1:0 ✺
03.05.26	Barco - Somozas	1:2 ✺
26.04.26	Somozas - Compostela	1:1 ✺
12.04.26	Somozas - Viveiro	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 TLWTT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
01.02.26	Somozas - Céltiga	1:1
13.09.25	Céltiga - Somozas	5:0
Spanish Tercera Division - Play Offs
08.04.18	Somozas - Céltiga	0:0

Céltiga - Somozas