Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 32

Date: 26 April 2026, Sunday


	Somozas		Compostela

	1	X	2
	4.35	3.1	1.78
	4.26	3.06	1.77
	6.37	3.56	1.56	Watch
	4	2.9	1.91
	4.34	3.2	1.79
	4.1	2.85	1.81
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.57 ↑ (4.1)	3.11 ↑ (2.85)	1.77 ↓ (1.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Somozas
19.8%

Draw
29.1%

Compostela
51.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.3%

30.6%

48.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.7%

29.7%

49.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Somozas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Compostela has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Somozas than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Compostela than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Somozas - Compostela Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
60', 0 - 1, Guisande A. ⚽,
81', 1 - 1, Cambon J. ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 7 and 1 in the zone Promotion).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Somozas won 1.

Somozas has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Compostela has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Compostela may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Somozas has had a series of home games.

Compostela will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Somozas won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:6. (average 0.2:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Somozas won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0. (average 0:0).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
13	Somozas	5	1	2	2	3:4	-1	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Somozas
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
12.04.26	Somozas - Viveiro	1:1 ✺
05.04.26	Somozas - Montañeros	1:2 ✺
02.04.26	Somozas - Alondras	2:1 ✺
29.03.26	Arosa - Somozas	1:0 ✺
22.03.26	Somozas - Atlético Arteixo	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 TLWLL
- SD Compostela
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
19.04.26	Compostela - Montañeros	2:2 ✺
12.04.26	Arosa - Compostela	0:2 ✺
05.04.26	Compostela - Atlético Arteixo	0:2 ✺
02.04.26	Compostela - Gran Peña	1:1 ✺
28.03.26	Noia - Compostela	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 TWLTT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
20.12.25	Compostela - Somozas	3:0
Spanish Tercera Division - Play Offs
04.03.18	Compostela - Somozas	3:0
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
13.02.16	Somozas - Compostela	0:0
27.09.15	Compostela - Somozas	0:1
26.04.15	Somozas - Compostela	0:0
07.12.14	Compostela - Somozas	0:0

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