Match Info

SPAIN: Tercera RFEF - Group 14 - Round 25

Date: 9 March 2025, Sunday


	CD Extremadura		Jaraíz

	1	X	2
	1.39	4	6.75
	1.39	4.1	7.4
	1.4	4.17	7.7
	1.4	4.11	7.54	Watch
	1.37	4.1	7.9
	1.39	4.1	7.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↓ (1.59)	4.1 ↑ (3.75)	7.45 ↑ (4.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

CD Extremadura
65.5%

Draw
22.2%

Jaraíz
12.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57%

24.2%

18.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60%

23%

17.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

CD Extremadura has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in CD Extremadura's performance.

Jaraíz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Jaraíz might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for CD Extremadura than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with CD Extremadura that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jaraíz than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jaraíz could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

CD Extremadura - Jaraíz Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
12', 1 - 0, Callejon J. ⚽,
42', 2 - 0, Moreno R. ⚽,
45+2', 3 - 0, Dieguito ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
84', 4 - 0, Dieguito ⚽,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 14 (Play Offs: )).

Extremadura in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Jaraíz is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Extremadura could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Extremadura is indisputable favorite.

Our prediction for today's Extremadura to win the game is with odds 1.39.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Extremadura won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Extremadura
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
02.03.25	CD Extremadura - Arroyo	3:0 ✺
23.02.25	CD Extremadura - Llerenense	3:0 ✺
16.02.25	Olivenza - CD Extremadura	0:3 ✺
09.02.25	CD Extremadura - Jerez	4:0 ✺
02.02.25	Santa Amalia - CD Extremadura	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WWWWW
- CF Jaraíz
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
23.02.25	Jaraíz - Arroyo	1:1 ✺
09.02.25	Jaraíz - Olivenza	2:0 ✺
02.02.25	Jerez - Jaraíz	2:3 ✺
19.01.25	Calamonte - Jaraíz	1:2 ✺
12.01.25	Montijo - Jaraíz	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 TWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
27.10.24	Jaraíz - CD Extremadura	1:0

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