Match Info

SPAIN: Tercera RFEF - Group 14 - Round 20

Date: 2 February 2025, Sunday


	Santa Amalia		CD Extremadura

	1	X	2
	5.25	3.5	1.57
	5.6	3.6	1.56
	5.45	3.45	1.55
	5.83	3.61	1.56	Watch
	5.97	3.6	1.53
	5.6	3.6	1.56
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.62 ↑ (2.74)	3.56 ↑ (3.13)	1.56 ↓ (2.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Santa Amalia
16.2%

Draw
25.5%

CD Extremadura
58.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.1%

29%

37.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.6%

29.5%

37.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Santa Amalia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Santa Amalia's form might have worsened.

CD Extremadura has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+20.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting CD Extremadura's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santa Amalia than the current prediction. (+17.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Santa Amalia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for CD Extremadura than the current prediction. (-21.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for CD Extremadura, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Santa Amalia - CD Extremadura Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
64', 0 - 1, Imanol Barce ⚽,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Santa Amalia
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
19.01.25	Santa Amalia - Arroyo	1:0 ✺
12.01.25	Santa Amalia - Llerenense	0:1 ✺
22.12.24	Olivenza - Santa Amalia	0:2 ✺
14.12.24	Santa Amalia - Jerez	1:0 ✺
08.12.24	Santa Amalia - Badajoz	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.3 WLWWT
- CD Extremadura
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
26.01.25	CD Extremadura - Calamonte	3:1 ✺
19.01.25	Montijo - CD Extremadura	0:1 ✺
12.01.25	Villafranca - CD Extremadura	0:2 ✺
21.12.24	CD Extremadura - Moralo	0:1 ✺
15.12.24	Diocesano - CD Extremadura	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
22.09.24	CD Extremadura - Santa Amalia	4:0

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