The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
CD Guadalajara 63.9%
Draw 22%
Arenteiro 14.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
53.8%
26%
20.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44.5%
21.5%
24.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
CD Guadalajara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in CD Guadalajara's performance.
Arenteiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Arenteiro might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for CD Guadalajara than the current prediction. (-19.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with CD Guadalajara that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arenteiro than the current prediction. (+10.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Arenteiro could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
CD Guadalajara - Arenteiro Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Zarco A. (G) 5. Gallardo D. 4. Ablanque J. 2. Perez L. 23. Casado J. 7. Neskes 20. Miki 14. Tavares R. 16. Cadete 10. Amigo D. 19. Munoz P.
1. Alvin (G) 2. Moya P. 5. Perez G. 3. Lohr L. 15. Moreno D. 11. Cuellar J. 21. Lopez A. 6. Val B. 23. Kandoussi B. 7. Ferreiro D. 9. Ramon N.
Substitutes
11. Alvarez U. 32. Delgado A. 33. Exposito R. 18. Martinez J. 27. Mayo I. 3. Moreno A. 21. Perero G. 15. Rodriguez V. 6. Rojo P. 22. Samuel 34. Susilla S. 13. Vicente D. (G)
4. Falcon E. 13. Garcia D. (G) 8. Gonzalez D. 17. Molina A. 14. Safrai
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
4', Ablanque J. 🟨,
16', Perez G. 🟨,
18', 1 - 0, Cadete ⚽,
22', 🟨,
43', 🟨,
45+8', 2 - 0, Munoz P. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Ramon N. ↓, Safrai ↑,
46', Val B. ↓, Gonzalez D. ↑,
46', Perez G. ↓, Falcon E. ↑,
66', Amigo D. ↓, Alvarez U. ↑,
72', Neskes ↓, Samuel ↑,
72', Zarco A. ↓, Vicente D. ↑,
72', Tavares R. ↓, Perero G. ↑,
75', 🟨,
89', 🟨,
Preview
We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 20 in the zone Relegation).
Guadalajara has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Arenteiro is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
Guadalajara may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Guadalajara is a strong favorite.
In the last 1 head-to-head match, Guadalajara won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
Spain
Watch
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Zarco A. (G) 
Cuellar J. 
Safrai 
