Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 31

Date: 3 April 2026, Friday

Location: Estadio Pedro Escartín (Guadalajara)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub, LaLiga+, Movistar Plus+


	CD Guadalajara		Ferrol

	1	X	2
	2.45	2.9	2.7
	2.48	2.98	2.82
	2.57	3.08	2.8
	2.55	3.12	2.8	Watch
	2.45	2.8	2.7
	2.51	2.9	2.72
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.5 ↓ (2.73)	2.96 ↓ (3.15)	2.76 ↑ (2.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

CD Guadalajara
36.3%

Draw
30.7%

Ferrol
33%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34%

29.5%

36.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33%

30.4%

37.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

CD Guadalajara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Ferrol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for CD Guadalajara than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ferrol than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

CD Guadalajara - Ferrol Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Vicente D. (G) 5. Gallardo D. 23. Casado J. 15. Rodriguez V. 16. Cadete 20. Miki 6. Rojo P. 19. Munoz P. 17. Gomez J. 11. Alvarez U. 24. Caropitche S. M.	1. Parera P. M. (G) 2. Miguel 4. Artetxe M. 16. Garcia S. 17. Ramon A. 7. Alvaro J. 14. Tejera S. 6. Gonzalez F. 11. Dacosta R. 20. Gimenez A. 9. Escobar A.
Substitutes
4. Ablanque J. 10. Amigo D. 9. Canizo A. 26. Lopez M. 18. Martinez J. 27. Mayo N. 3. Moreno A. 7. Neskes 21. Perero G. 29. Verdu M.	19. Azkune E. 12. Chema 18. Concha D. 25. Diaz L. (G) 13. Fernandez C. G. (G) 24. Garcia A. 8. Gorostidi A. 22. Mardones A. 5. Noriega J. 3. Pujol E. 21. Tavares M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
13', Miguel 🟨,
35', Rojo P. 🟨,
40', 1 - 0, Caropitche S. M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
53', Miguel ↓, Mardones A. ↑,
60', Caropitche S. M. ↓, Neskes ↑,
60', Alvarez U. ↓, Amigo D. ↑,
66', Rojo P. 🟨,
66', Alvaro J. ↓, Garcia A. ↑,
66', Dacosta R. ↓, Concha D. ↑,
76', Cadete ↓, Ablanque J. ↑,
78', Artetxe M. ↓, Gorostidi A. ↑,
78', Escobar A. ↓, Tavares M. ↑,
90', 🟨,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 11).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Guadalajara won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Racing Club Ferrol	6	3	1	2	7:5	2	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Guadalajara
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
29.03.26	Osasuna B - CD Guadalajara	4:3 ✺
22.03.26	CD Guadalajara - Talavera de la Reina	1:1 ✺
13.03.26	Mérida AD - CD Guadalajara	1:4 ✺
08.03.26	CD Guadalajara - Celta de Vigo B	3:0 ✺
01.03.26	Zamora - CD Guadalajara	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.5 LTWWT
- Racing Club Ferrol
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
28.03.26	Mérida AD - Ferrol	2:1 ✺
22.03.26	Ferrol - Barakaldo	0:0 ✺
14.03.26	Ourense CF - Ferrol	1:1 ✺
08.03.26	Ferrol - Cacereño	3:1 ✺
28.02.26	Talavera de la Reina - Ferrol	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LTTWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
26.09.25	Ferrol - CD Guadalajara	0:0

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