The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
CD Guadalajara 40%
Draw 30.4%
Talavera de la Reina 29.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
45%
27.7%
27.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
45.6%
27.3%
26.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
CD Guadalajara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)
Talavera de la Reina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for CD Guadalajara than the current prediction. (+5.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for CD Guadalajara, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Talavera de la Reina than the current prediction. (-2.7%)
CD Guadalajara - Talavera de la Reina Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Zarco A. (G) 5. Gallardo D. 15. Rodriguez V. 23. Casado J. 16. Cadete 11. Alvarez U. 14. Tavares R. 7. Neskes 8. Calvo T. 18. Martinez J. 19. Munoz P.
13. Belman (G) 14. Molina A. 5. Molina S. 2. Cuenca D. 3. Roig A. 20. Ferni 15. Acosta L. 16. Navarro I. 6. Pitu 11. Gallardo Rodriguez E. (C) 9. Moreno M.
Substitutes
4. Ablanque J. 10. Amigo D. 24. Caropitche S. M. 33. Exposito R. 27. Mayo N. 20. Miki 3. Moreno A. 21. Perero G. 13. Vicente D. (G)
7. Di Renzo G. 23. Farrando M. 1. Gonzalez J. (G) 4. Lopez A. 21. Montero Sergio 24. Nordin M. 17. Ouacharaf B. 8. Sanchez L.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
7', 0 - 1, Moreno M. ⚽,
32', Acosta L. 🟨,
36', Tavares R. 🟨,
36', Molina S. 🟨,
39', Gallardo Rodriguez E. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
50', Calvo T. ↓, Amigo D. ↑,
50', Martinez J. ↓, Rojo P. ↑,
50', Tavares R. ↓, Miki ↑,
60', Navarro I. 🟨,
62', Alvarez U. ↓, Caropitche S. M. ↑,
67', Moreno M. ↓, Di Renzo G. ↑,
67', Molina S. ↓, Farrando M. ↑,
72', 🟨,
72', Gallardo Rodriguez E. 🟨,
82', 🟨,
82', 1 - 1, Neskes ⚽,
83', Ferni ↓, Nordin M. ↑,
83', Navarro I. ↓, Lopez A. ↑,
Preview
This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 17 in the zone Relegation).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Guadalajara won 1.
Guadalajara is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Talavera has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Guadalajara may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Guadalajara is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Guadalajara won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 3:14. (average 0.3:1.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Guadalajara won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 3:7. (average 0.6:1.4).
Spain
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Zarco A. (G) 
Caropitche S. M. 
Di Renzo G. 
Nordin M. 
