Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 5 - ROUND 28

Date: 2 April 2023, Sunday

Location: Estadio Pedro Escartín (Guadalajara)


	CD Guadalajara		Socuéllamos

	1	X	2
	1.9	2.9	4
	1.85	3	4.25
	1.91	2.91	4.76
	1.9	3.02	4.4
	1.94	3.05	3.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.9 ↓ (1.93)	2.98 ↑ (2.8)	4.27 ↓ (4.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

CD Guadalajara
48%

Draw
30.6%

Socuéllamos
21.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.1%

32.5%

20.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.7%

26%

25.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

CD Guadalajara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Socuéllamos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for CD Guadalajara than the current prediction. (-10.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with CD Guadalajara that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Socuéllamos than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

CD Guadalajara - Socuéllamos Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 10 and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Guadalajara won 0.

Recent matches Guadalajara is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Socuéllamos has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Guadalajara is a favorite.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Guadalajara won 2 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Guadalajara won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Guadalajara
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
26.03.23	Diocesano - CD Guadalajara	1:2 ✺
19.03.23	CD Guadalajara - Cacereño	0:1 ✺
12.03.23	Villanovense - CD Guadalajara	2:0 ✺
05.03.23	CD Guadalajara - Atlético Paso	1:1 ✺
26.02.23	Melilla - CD Guadalajara	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WLLTT
- UD Socuéllamos
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
26.03.23	Leganés B - Socuéllamos	1:0 ✺
19.03.23	Socuéllamos - Diocesano	0:0 ✺
12.03.23	Cacereño - Socuéllamos	2:1 ✺
05.03.23	Socuéllamos - Villanovense	0:1 ✺
26.02.23	Atlético Paso - Socuéllamos	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
20.11.22	Socuéllamos - CD Guadalajara	0:0
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Promotion Play Offs
25.07.20	Socuéllamos - CD Guadalajara	0:0
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 18
09.02.20	CD Guadalajara - Socuéllamos	1:2
19.09.19	Socuéllamos - CD Guadalajara	0:0
07.10.18	CD Guadalajara - Socuéllamos	1:1
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
10.01.16	CD Guadalajara - Socuéllamos	1:0
22.08.15	Socuéllamos - CD Guadalajara	2:1

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