Match Info

Liga Nacional - Clausura - Triangulares - Round 6

Date: 18 May 2026, Monday

Location: Estadio Francisco Morazán (San Pedro Sula)

Where to Watch on TV:


Honduras	Deportes TV
Usa	FOX Deportes, FOX Deportes, FOX One, FOX Sports App, Foxsports.com


	Real España		CD Marathón

	1	X	2
	2.02	3.2	3.25
	1.97	3.25	3.42
	2.06	3.23	3.63	Watch
	2.05	3	3.4
	1.99	3.18	3.52	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.02 ↓ (2.18)	3.17 ↓ (3.23)	3.44 ↑ (3.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real España
45%

Draw
28.6%

CD Marathón
26.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.7%

28.1%

30.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.2%

27.1%

29.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real España has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

CD Marathón has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real España than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for CD Marathón than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Real España - CD Marathón Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Lopez L. (G) 19. Aparicio D. 10. Benavidez J. 5. Flores F. 6. Garcia D. 11. Hernandez E. 14. Jean-Baptiste J. 28. Mejia C. 36. Osorto R. 30. Sayago D. 18. Vuelto D.	1. Rougier J. (G) 19. Aguilera J. 3. Bodden K. 7. Castillo I. 79. Castillo R. 9. Farioli B. 5. Martinez Hernandez F. E. 10. Ramirez D. (C) 4. Rivera J. 30. Sacaza C. 17. Vega Orellana A. N.
Substitutes
54. Arana M. 16. Arzu E. 39. Cacho D. 4. Capeluto J. 8. Garcia A. 23. Lopez R. (G) 21. Palacios D. 58. Palacios Y. 34. Pike C. 7. Ritacco G. 26. Rodriguez J. 20. Romero C.	14. Arriaga Chavez J. A. 60. Arriaga L. 26. Elvir S. 2. Figueroa H. 31. Juarez H. (G) 11. Messiniti N. 22. Nunez M. 27. Perez C. 21. Ramos O. 23. Samudio C. (G) 8. Sorto Caballero T. A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
28', 0 - 1, Vega Orellana A. N. ⚽,
28', Garcia D. 🟨,
45+5', Rougier J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
60', Vuelto D. ↓, Arzu E. ↑,
60', Osorto R. ↓, Garcia A. ↑,
63', Sacaza C. ↓, Arriaga Chavez J. A. ↑,
63', Vega Orellana A. N. ↓, Perez C. ↑,
70', Castillo R. ↓, Messiniti N. ↑,
70', Farioli B. ↓, Nunez M. ↑,
71', 1 - 1, Sayago D. ⚽,
82', Martinez Hernandez F. E. ↓, Arriaga L. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Real España won 3.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Marathón may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Real España could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Real España won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 19:20. (average 1:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Real España won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 14:11. (average 1.4:1.1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Real Espana	8	5	3	0	13:4	9	18
3	Marathon	8	5	2	1	14:6	8	17

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real España
Honduras Liga Nacional
12.05.26	Olimpia Tegucigalpa - Real España	3:2 ✺
09.05.26	Real España - Olimpia Tegucigalpa	3:1 ✺
03.05.26	CD Marathón - Real España	1:0 ✺
30.04.26	Victoria La Ceiba - Real España	1:2 ✺
25.04.26	Real España - Olimpia Tegucigalpa	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 LWLWW
- CD Marathón
Honduras Liga Nacional
15.05.26	CD Marathón - Olimpia Tegucigalpa	1:0 ✺
06.05.26	Olimpia Tegucigalpa - CD Marathón	2:0 ✺
03.05.26	CD Marathón - Real España	1:0 ✺
30.04.26	CD Marathón - Choloma	0:1 ✺
22.04.26	Olimpia Tegucigalpa - CD Marathón	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Honduras Liga Nacional
03.05.26	CD Marathón - Real España	1:0
02.04.26	Real España - CD Marathón	2:0
08.02.26	CD Marathón - Real España	0:1
15.10.25	CD Marathón - Real España	0:0
03.08.25	Real España - CD Marathón	1:0
06.04.25	CD Marathón - Real España	1:0
07.02.25	Real España - CD Marathón	1:2

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