Date: 1 November 2026, Sunday ⏱️ In 4d 3h📅 Remind Me
Motagua
CD Marathón
1
X
2
1.92
3.10
3.40
Avarage Now (Initially)
1.92 (1.92)
3.1 (3.1)
3.4 (3.4)
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
The best margin for this event is 13.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Motagua 45.8%
Draw 28.4%
CD Marathón 25.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
49.1%
26.5%
24.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
The chances for Motagua have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
The chances for CD Marathón have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Motagua than the current prediction. (+3.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for CD Marathón than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
0%
0%
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Preview
A clash between two contenders competing at the top of the table (ranked 4th in the Promotion - Liga Nacional (Apertura - Playoffs - Quarter - finals) and 3rd in the Promotion - Liga Nacional (Apertura - Playoffs - Quarter - finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Motagua won 1.
Currently, both sides are showing commendable stability on the pitch.
Marathón may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Motagua is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Motagua has recorded 4 wins, 10 draws, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 25:24 (averaging 1.3:1.2 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Motagua against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses, with 17:12 goals (averaging 1.7:1.2 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
3
Marathon
11
6
4
1
18:9
9
22
4
Motagua
11
7
1
3
17:9
8
22
Last Results with these Odds
CD Marathón - the odds 3.4 are the expected chance of winning is 25.86%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.
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