Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 7 - Play Offs

Date: 18 May 2025, Sunday


	Galapagar		Rayo Vallecano B

	1	X	2
	2.75	3.2	2.25
	2.38	3.2	2.75
	2.42	3.22	2.76
	2.38	3.26	2.76	Watch
	2.41	3.22	2.75
	2.38	3.2	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.45 ↓ (2.81)	3.22 ↓ (3.3)	2.67 ↑ (2.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Galapagar
37.3%

Draw
28.4%

Rayo Vallecano B
34.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.4%

27.6%

40.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.8%

27.1%

40.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Galapagar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

Rayo Vallecano B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Rayo Vallecano B might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Galapagar than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Galapagar that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rayo Vallecano B than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Rayo Vallecano B could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Galapagar - Rayo Vallecano B Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
13', 1 - 0, Javi ⚽,
45', 1 - 1, Baladia A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
53', 1 - 2, Eto'o E. ⚽,
54', 1 - 3, Eto'o E. ⚽,
72', Javi 🟥,

Preview

1st leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Galapagar won 2.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Galapagar won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:14. (average 1.3:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Galapagar won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:9. (average 1.5:2.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Galapagar
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
11.05.25	Collado Villalba - Galapagar	0:1 ✺
04.05.25	Galapagar - Cala Pozuelo	3:5 ✺
27.04.25	Galapagar - Trival Valderas	0:0 ✺
17.04.25	Aravaca - Galapagar	1:0 ✺
12.04.25	Galapagar - México	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WLTLW
- Rayo Vallecano B
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
11.05.25	Rayo Vallecano B - Villaverde San Andrés	0:1 ✺
04.05.25	Las Rozas - Rayo Vallecano B	2:2 ✺
27.04.25	Rayo Vallecano B - Canillas	3:2 ✺
17.04.25	Alcorcón B - Rayo Vallecano B	0:1 ✺
13.04.25	Rayo Vallecano B - Torrejón	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LTWWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
16.02.25	Galapagar - Rayo Vallecano B	2:3
06.10.24	Rayo Vallecano B - Galapagar	0:1
25.02.24	Galapagar - Rayo Vallecano B	2:2
07.10.23	Rayo Vallecano B - Galapagar	4:1
12.03.23	Rayo Vallecano B - Galapagar	1:2
06.11.22	Galapagar - Rayo Vallecano B	1:1
26.03.22	Rayo Vallecano B - Galapagar	0:0

Galapagar - Rayo Vallecano B: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide