Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 7 - Round 17

Date: 11 January 2026, Sunday


	Las Rozas		Galapagar

	1	X	2
	1.6	3.6	4.75
	1.72	3.49	4.55	Watch
	1.65	3.4	4.8
	1.63	3.58	4.79
	1.77	3.25	4.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↓ (1.71)	3.46 ↑ (3.45)	4.64 ↑ (4.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Las Rozas
54.2%

Draw
26.2%

Galapagar
19.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.1%

26.2%

20.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.4%

27.8%

19.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Las Rozas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Galapagar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Las Rozas than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Galapagar than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Las Rozas - Galapagar Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
38', 1 - 0, Nacho Rodriguez ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
47', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 7 (Play Offs: ) and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Las Rozas won 1.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

In this match, Las Rozas is a strong favorite.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Las Rozas won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:8. (average 0.9:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Las Rozas won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:3. (average 0.8:0.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Las Rozas	5	3	1	1	11:6	5	10
7	Galapagar	5	2	2	1	10:8	2	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Las Rozas CF
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
04.01.26	Unión Adarve - Las Rozas	1:0 ✺
21.12.25	Las Rozas - Villaverde San Andrés	0:3 ✺
14.12.25	Atlético Madrid C - Las Rozas	1:1 ✺
07.12.25	Las Rozas - Siello	1:0 ✺
23.11.25	Pozuelo de Alarcón - Las Rozas	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LLTWT
- CD Galapagar
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
04.01.26	Galapagar - Parla	2:1 ✺
20.12.25	Galapagar - Unión Adarve	1:0 ✺
13.12.25	Alcorcón B - Galapagar	2:1 ✺
06.12.25	Galapagar - Villaverde San Andrés	0:0 ✺
22.11.25	México - Galapagar	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
23.03.25	Las Rozas - Galapagar	1:2
10.11.24	Galapagar - Las Rozas	1:3
10.03.24	Galapagar - Las Rozas	1:1
22.10.23	Las Rozas - Galapagar	0:1
Club Friendly
30.08.23	Galapagar - Las Rozas	1:1
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
26.02.23	Galapagar - Las Rozas	2:0
23.10.22	Las Rozas - Galapagar	1:0

Las Rozas - Galapagar: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide