Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 5 - Round 23

Date: 22 February 2026, Sunday


	CE Europa B		Grama

	1	X	2
	2.4	3	2.78
	1.32	4.56	9.71	Watch
	2.4	2.88	2.9
	2.36	3.02	2.89
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.12 ↓ (2.49)	3.37 ↑ (3.08)	4.57 ↑ (2.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

CE Europa B
47.8%

Draw
30.1%

Grama
22.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.1%

29.2%

34.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.6%

28.8%

34.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

CE Europa B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in CE Europa B's performance.

Grama has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Grama might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for CE Europa B than the current prediction. (-11.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with CE Europa B that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grama than the current prediction. (+12%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Grama could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

CE Europa B - Grama Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
28', 1 - 0, Noureddine K. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
83', 1 - 1, ⚽,
88', 2 - 1, ⚽,
90+8', 🟥,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 15 and 9).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Europa B won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:6. (average 2:2).

Including home match between the teams, Europa B won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	CE Europa B	5	2	2	1	10:6	4	8
5	Grama	4	2	1	1	6:3	3	7

Last Results with these Odds

Grama - the odds 2.59 are the expected chance of winning is 34.71%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CE Europa B
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 5
15.02.26	Tona - CE Europa B	1:1 ✺
08.02.26	CE Europa B - Lleida	0:0 ✺
31.01.26	Vilanova - CE Europa B	3:0 ✺
25.01.26	CE Europa B - LEscala	3:1 ✺
18.01.26	Vilassar de Mar - CE Europa B	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 TTLWT
- FE Grama
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 5
15.02.26	Grama - Can Vidalet	2:0 ✺
08.02.26	Grama - Tona	2:2 ✺
01.02.26	Lleida - Grama	2:1 ✺
25.01.26	Grama - Vilanova	0:0 ✺
17.01.26	LEscala - Grama	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 WTLTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 5
12.10.25	Grama - CE Europa B	1:1
26.01.25	CE Europa B - Grama	3:4
15.09.24	Grama - CE Europa B	1:2

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