The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
CE Europa B 31.6%
Draw 31%
Vilanova 37.3%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
39.5%
29.5%
31%
Our Initial ML Estimation
38.8%
28.9%
31.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
CE Europa B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that CE Europa B's form might have worsened.
Vilanova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Vilanova's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for CE Europa B than the current prediction. (+7.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for CE Europa B, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vilanova than the current prediction. (-5.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Vilanova, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
CE Europa B - Vilanova Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
8', 0 - 1, Sanchez P. ⚽,
28', 1 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
72', 2 - 1, ⚽,
86', 3 - 1, ⚽,
90+2', 4 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
A competitive mid-table side looks to challenge an upper-table opponent (ranked 12th and 2nd in the Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 5 Playoffs).
Europa B has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Vilanova shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Vilanova may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Europa B has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 1:5 (averaging 0.5:2.5 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Europa B against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 1:2 goals.