The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Vilanova 36.8%
Draw 30.1%
Grama 33.1%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
32.3%
30.6%
37.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
33.4%
30.1%
36.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vilanova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)
Grama has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vilanova than the current prediction. (-3.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grama than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
Vilanova - Grama Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
A high-stakes showdown between two teams from the upper tier of the standings (ranked 6th and 2nd in the Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 5 Playoffs).
Vilanova has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Grama has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Grama may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Vilanova has recorded 0 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 1:3 (averaging 0.5:1.5 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Vilanova against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 1:3 goals.
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