Match Info

SPAIN: Tercera RFEF - Group 9 - Round 21

Date: 9 February 2025, Sunday


	CP Almería		Real Jaén

	1	X	2
	6.5	4.4	1.37
	7.2	4.4	1.37
	7.06	4.25	1.37
	7.4	4.25	1.39	Watch
	7.8	4.45	1.34
	7.2	4.4	1.37
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.19 ↑ (7.11)	4.36 ↑ (4.2)	1.37 ↓ (1.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

CP Almería
12.6%

Draw
20.9%

Real Jaén
66.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

12.8%

21.7%

65.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

12.2%

20.7%

68.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

CP Almería has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Real Jaén has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for CP Almería than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Jaén than the current prediction. (+2%)

CP Almería - Real Jaén Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
45+3', 0 - 1, Espin J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).

CP Almería is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Jaén is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Jaén is certain favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches CP Almería won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 4:13 (average 0.8:2.6).

Including matches at home between the teams CP Almería won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:3 (average 1.5:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CP Almería
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9
02.02.25	Mancha Real - CP Almería	1:0 ✺
26.01.25	CP Almería - Mijas-Las Lagunas	0:2 ✺
18.01.25	Malaga B - CP Almería	3:0 ✺
12.01.25	Torreperogil - CP Almería	5:1 ✺
22.12.24	CP Almería - Málaga Juniors	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LLLLW
- Real Jaén
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9
02.02.25	Real Jaén - Martos	2:0 ✺
26.01.25	Real Jaén - Mancha Real	2:1 ✺
18.01.25	Mijas-Las Lagunas - Real Jaén	3:0 ✺
12.01.25	Malaga B - Real Jaén	2:0 ✺
22.12.24	Real Jaén - Torreperogil	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9
28.09.24	Real Jaén - CP Almería	6:1
07.01.24	CP Almería - Real Jaén	1:3
07.02.21	CP Almería - Real Jaén	2:0
03.01.21	Real Jaén - CP Almería	2:0
10.11.19	Real Jaén - CP Almería	2:0

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