Match Info

BRAZIL: COPA DO NORDESTE - ROUND 4

Date: 28 February 2024, Wednesday

Location: Estádio Rei Pelé (Maceió)


	CRB Maceio		Bahia

	1	X	2
	3.7	3.3	1.9
	3.75	3.3	1.9	Watch
	3.66	3.25	1.92
	4.47	3.27	1.85
	3.8	3.2	1.85
	3.87	3.24	1.89	Watch
	3.6	3.3	1.93
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.84 ↑ (3.41)	3.27 ↓ (3.35)	1.89 ↓ (2.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

CRB Maceio
23.8%

Draw
27.9%

Bahia
48.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.4%

27.9%

44.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.2%

28.1%

45%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

CRB Maceio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

Bahia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for CRB Maceio than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bahia than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

CRB Maceio - Bahia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Matheus Albino (G) 9. Anselmo Ramon (C) 3. Fabio Alemao 98. Falcao 8. Gege 32. Hereda 33. Joao Pedro 10. Jorginho 38. Leo Pereira 4. Saimon 13. Willian Formiga	22. Marcos Felipe (G) 7. Ademir 13. Arias S. 8. Cauly 10. Everton Ribeiro (C) 6. Jean Lucas 4. Kanu 46. Luciano Juba 5. Rezende 16. Thaciano 15. Victor Cuesta
Substitutes
50. Baranhas 11. Diaz A. 40. Douglas Rafael 30. Facu Labandeira 26. Gustavo Henrique 34. Heron 21. Jailson Caua 70. Kelvin 2. Matheus Ribeiro 7. Mike 77. Vitinho 1. Vitor Caetano (G)	23. Adriel (G) 11. Biel 19. Caio Alexandre 40. Cicinho 33. David Duarte 29. Estupinan O. 9. Everaldo 3. Gabriel Xavier 2. Gilberto 44. Marcos Victor 21. Rafael Ratao 20. Yago Felipe

Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa do Nordeste (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa do Nordeste (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches CRB won 0.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

CRB could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently opponents have a series of guest games.

Bahia will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 13 head-to-head matches CRB won 0 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 12-28.

Including matches at home between the teams CRB won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7-11.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CRB Maceio
Brazilian Campeonato Alagoano
25.02.24	Coruripe - CRB Maceio	0:1 ✺
Brazilian Copa Alagoas
22.02.24	Zumbi - CRB Maceio	1:0 ✺
Copa do Brasil
21.02.24	Rio Branco FC - CRB Maceio	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Alagoano
18.02.24	CRB Maceio - Cruzeiro Arapiraca	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
15.02.24	Treze - CRB Maceio	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 WLTWT
- EC Bahia
Brazilian Campeonato Baiano
25.02.24	Juazeirense - Bahia	1:2 ✺
Copa do Brasil
21.02.24	Moto Club de São Luís - Bahia	0:4 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Baiano
18.02.24	Vitória Salvador - Bahia	3:2 ✺
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
15.02.24	Bahia - América RN	3:0 ✺
10.02.24	Ríver PI - Bahia	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
22.03.23	Bahia - CRB Maceio	3:0
Brazilian Serie B
06.11.22	CRB Maceio - Bahia	1:2
19.07.22	Bahia - CRB Maceio	1:1
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
17.04.21	Bahia - CRB Maceio	4:0
Copa do Brasil
09.04.19	Bahia - CRB Maceio	1:0
02.04.19	CRB Maceio - Bahia	1:1
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
16.01.19	Bahia - CRB Maceio	1:1

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