Match Info

BRAZIL: COPA DO NORDESTE - ROUND 3

Date: 15 February 2024, Thursday


	Treze		CRB Maceio

	1	X	2
	3.75	3.1	1.93
	3.75	3.2	1.9	Watch
	3.5	3.1	1.96
	3.69	3.04	2.09
	3.62	3.13	2	Watch
	3.7	3.1	1.97
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.67 ↑ (2.94)	3.11 ↓ (3.15)	1.98 ↓ (2.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Treze
24.8%

Draw
29.2%

CRB Maceio
46%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.3%

29.2%

39.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.1%

28.1%

41.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Treze has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Treze's form might have worsened.

CRB Maceio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting CRB Maceio's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Treze than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Treze, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for CRB Maceio than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
72. Igor Rayan (G) 8. Edmundo 2. Guilherme Lucena 6. Higor 5. Juninho 10. Leo Cereja 9. Lucas Mineiro 3. Luis Fernando 4. Rafael Castro 7. Will 11. Xande	12. Matheus Albino (G) 9. Anselmo Ramon (C) 3. Fabio Alemao 98. Falcao 32. Hereda 10. Jorginho 38. Leo Pereira 7. Mike 17. Romulo 4. Saimon 13. Willian Formiga
Substitutes
12. Andrade (G) 22. Gabriel Feitosa 14. Jan Pieter 21. Jonatha 18. Matheus Chaves 1. Nayan (G) 15. Pedrao 20. Pedro Junior 19. Rickelme 17. Roberto 23. Rubens Carvalho 16. Saimon	16. Alejandro 11. Diaz A. 30. Facu Labandeira 8. Gege 26. Gustavo Henrique 34. Heron 21. Jailson Caua 33. Joao Pedro 2. Matheus Ribeiro 77. Vitinho 1. Vitor Caetano (G)

Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 5 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa do Nordeste (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Recent matches Treze is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

CRB is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Treze could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Treze won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 6-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Treze won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Treze FC
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
09.02.24	Sport Recife - Treze	3:1 ✺
03.02.24	Treze - Ríver PI	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Paraibano
30.01.24	Treze - Atlético Cajazeirense de Desportos	2:0 ✺
27.01.24	Nacional de Patos - Treze	2:1 ✺
16.01.24	Treze - Serra Branca	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LWWLL
- CRB Maceio
Brazilian Copa Alagoas
15.02.24	CRB Maceio - Olhodagüense	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
11.02.24	CRB Maceio - Fortaleza	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Alagoano
07.02.24	CRB Maceio - Clube Sociedade Esportiva	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Copa Alagoas
04.02.24	Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense - CRB Maceio	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
03.02.24	Itabaiana - CRB Maceio	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.2 WWTTW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
28.03.18	CRB Maceio - Treze	2:1
16.01.18	Treze - CRB Maceio	1:2
Brazilian Serie C
15.09.14	Treze - CRB Maceio	1:1
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
30.01.14	Treze - CRB Maceio	2:0
25.01.14	CRB Maceio - Treze	2:1

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