Match Info

Serie D - Play Offs - 1/8-finals

Date: 26 July 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estádio Rei Pelé (Maceió) 🌤️ ...


	CS Alagoano		São Luiz

	1	X	2
	1.35	4.20	7.50
	1.46	3.85	6.10
	1.37	4.14	8.41
	1.38	4.11	8.42	Watch
	1.35	4.05	8.30
	1.34	4.05	9.05
	1.36	4	7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.37 ↓ (1.57)	4.06 ↑ (3.6)	7.83 ↑ (5.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

CS Alagoano
66.1%

Draw
22.4%

São Luiz
11.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

58.4%

25.5%

16.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.5%

24.6%

15.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

CS Alagoano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in CS Alagoano's performance.

São Luiz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for CS Alagoano than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with CS Alagoano that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for São Luiz than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

CS Alagoano - São Luiz Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
29', 1 - 0, Matheus Melo ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
82', 1 - 1, Brandao ⚽,
90+6', 2 - 1, Wesley ⚽,

Preview

First leg result: 0-0.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

In this match, CSA is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, CSA won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CS Alagoano
Brazilian Serie D
19.07.26	São Luiz - CS Alagoano	0:0 ✺
13.07.26	CS Alagoano - Betim	4:0 ✺
04.07.26	Betim - CS Alagoano	1:0 ✺
27.06.26	CS Alagoano - Lagarto	2:0 ✺
21.06.26	Lagarto - CS Alagoano	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 TWLWT
- EC São Luiz
Brazilian Serie D
19.07.26	São Luiz - CS Alagoano	0:0 ✺
12.07.26	São Luiz - Velo Clube	3:1 penalties ✺
04.07.26	Velo Clube - São Luiz	2:1 ✺
27.06.26	Blumenau - São Luiz	1:2 penalties ✺
20.06.26	São Luiz - Blumenau	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 TWLWT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie D
19.07.26	São Luiz - CS Alagoano	0:0

CS Alagoano - São Luiz