Match Info

Serie D - Play Offs - 1/32-finals

Date: 27 June 2026, Saturday

Location: Estádio Rei Pelé (Maceió)


	CS Alagoano		Lagarto

	1	X	2
	1.29	5.00	7.75
	1.28	4.95	7.9
	1.32	5.26	8.6
	1.3	4.94	8.81	Watch
	1.3	4.6	8.5
	1.33	4.75	9.32
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.3 ↓ (1.35)	4.92 ↑ (4.2)	8.48 ↓ (8.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

CS Alagoano
70.5%

Draw
18.7%

Lagarto
10.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.9%

21.8%

10.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70%

21.1%

9.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

CS Alagoano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Lagarto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for CS Alagoano than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lagarto than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

CS Alagoano - Lagarto Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
56', 1 - 0, Matheus Melo ⚽,
65', 2 - 0, Rian Santana ⚽,

Preview

First leg result: 1-1.

Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.

In this match, CSA is the clear favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, CSA won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CS Alagoano
Brazilian Serie D
21.06.26	Lagarto - CS Alagoano	1:1 ✺
14.06.26	Atlético de Alagoinhas - CS Alagoano	1:7 ✺
31.05.26	CS Alagoano - Jacuipense	1:1 ✺
23.05.26	CS Alagoano - Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense	1:1 ✺
17.05.26	Clube Sociedade Esportiva - CS Alagoano	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 TWTTW
- Lagarto FC
Brazilian Serie D
21.06.26	Lagarto - CS Alagoano	1:1 ✺
14.06.26	Lagarto - Decisão	1:0 ✺
30.05.26	Treze - Lagarto	1:2 ✺
24.05.26	Retrô Brasil - Lagarto	1:1 ✺
16.05.26	Lagarto - Sergipe	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.3 TWWTT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie D
21.06.26	Lagarto - CS Alagoano	1:1
Club Friendly
29.12.25	Lagarto - CS Alagoano	1:0

CS Alagoano - Lagarto: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide