Match Info

Serie D - Play Offs - 1/32-finals

Date: 21 June 2026, Sunday


	Lagarto		CS Alagoano

	1	X	2
	3.60	3.10	1.90
	3.10	3.15	2.12
	3.93	3.17	1.94
	3.66	3.07	2.05	Watch
	3.70	2.90	1.91
	3.87	3.08	1.93
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.64 ↑ (3.31)	3.08 ↓ (3.16)	1.98 ↓ (2.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lagarto
24.8%

Draw
29.4%

CS Alagoano
45.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.8%

29.1%

43.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.2%

28.4%

44.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lagarto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

CS Alagoano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lagarto than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for CS Alagoano than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Lagarto - CS Alagoano Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
9', 0 - 1, Camacho ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
74', 1 - 1, Joazinho ⚽,

Preview

First leg.

At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.

CSA might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Lagarto won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Including home match between the teams, Lagarto won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lagarto FC
Brazilian Serie D
14.06.26	Lagarto - Decisão	1:0 ✺
30.05.26	Treze - Lagarto	1:2 ✺
24.05.26	Retrô Brasil - Lagarto	1:1 ✺
16.05.26	Lagarto - Sergipe	1:1 ✺
09.05.26	Serra Branca - Lagarto	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25.7 WWTTT
- CS Alagoano
Brazilian Serie D
14.06.26	Atlético de Alagoinhas - CS Alagoano	1:7 ✺
31.05.26	CS Alagoano - Jacuipense	1:1 ✺
23.05.26	CS Alagoano - Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense	1:1 ✺
17.05.26	Clube Sociedade Esportiva - CS Alagoano	1:5 ✺
10.05.26	Juazeirense - CS Alagoano	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WTTWW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
29.12.25	Lagarto - CS Alagoano	1:0

Lagarto - CS Alagoano: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide