Match Info

EUROPE: Conference League - Qualification - Quarter-finals

Date: 25 July 2024, Thursday

Location: National Stadium Vasil Levski (Sofia)

Referee: Kvirikashvili I. (Geo)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Diema Sport 3


	CSKA 1948 Sofia		Budućnost Podgorica

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.4	5.25	Watch
	1.6	3.6	5.25
	1.65	3.75	5
	1.66	3.7	5.52
	1.72	3.62	4.84	Watch
	1.57	3.75	5
	1.65	3.7	5.31	Watch
	1.65	3.6	5.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↓ (1.74)	3.64 ↑ (3.44)	5.2 ↑ (4.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

CSKA 1948 Sofia
56.6%

Draw
25.5%

Budućnost Podgorica
17.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.8%

26.7%

20.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.3%

26%

19.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

CSKA 1948 Sofia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

Budućnost Podgorica has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for CSKA 1948 Sofia than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Budućnost Podgorica than the current prediction. (+2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
70%	15%	15%

CSKA 1948 Sofia - Budućnost Podgorica Predictions

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. CSKA 1948 will win (votes: 14 - 73.7%). Budućnost will win (votes: 2 - 10.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 15.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for CSKA 1948: 53.9% – 93.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Marinov P. (G) 19. Furtado S. 22. Daskalov R. 14. Ivanov T. 15. Vasilev S. 28. Piscevic N. 39. Umarbaev P. 9. Karagaren B. 7. Thalis 10. Kirilov R. (C) 40. Ilievski M.	1. Mijatovic M. (G) 3. Grivic D. 55. Orahovac A. 33. Adzic V. 15. Gasevic O. 30. Bulatovic A. 14. Brnovic M. 10. Vukotic M. 7. Ivanovic I. 11. Bulatovic I. 18. Grbic P. (C)
Substitutes
91. Bidounga R. 11. Bouzon C. 58. Boychev M. 33. Bozhev A. (G) 26. Markov I. 92. Nguinda P. 61. Octavio 31. Rapnouil T. 25. Serdyuk Y. 23. Tsanev T. 21. Tsenov E.	77. Bojovic I. 98. Brajovic L. 24. Camaj A. 34. Djukanovic S. 21. Domazetovic F. (G) 20. Jovanovic M. 23. Kostic A. 93. Lambulic Z. 8. Mirkovic L. 4. Perisic V. 25. Tomasevic B. 36. Vukovic P.
Coaches
Iliev V.	Brnovic I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
14', Piscevic N. 🟨,
23', Grbic P. 🟨,
39', Bulatovic A. 🟨,
44', 1 - 0, Karagaren B. ⚽, Vasilev S. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Vukotic M. ↓, Perisic V. ↑,
66', Thalis ↓, Tsanev T. ↑,
66', Grbic P. ↓, Bojovic I. ↑,
77', Karagaren B. ↓, Bouzon C. ↑,
77', Umarbaev P. ↓, Octavio ↑,
78', Bulatovic I. ↓, Djukanovic S. ↑,
87', Ilievski M. ↓, Serdyuk Y. ↑,
87', Ivanovic I. ↓, Kostic A. ↑,

Preview

1st leg. Playing home matches at a different stadium - National Stadium Vasil Levski.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Budućnost could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently opponents have a series of guest games.

In this match CSKA 1948 is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CSKA 1948 Sofia
Bulgarian Parva Liga
19.07.24	Cherno More Varna - CSKA 1948 Sofia	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
13.07.24	Olimpija Ljubljana - CSKA 1948 Sofia	3:0 ✺
12.07.24	Beltinci - CSKA 1948 Sofia	1:4 ✺
10.07.24	Dinamo Zagreb - CSKA 1948 Sofia	6:2 ✺
06.07.24	CSKA 1948 Sofia - Ferencvárosi	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 TLWLT
- Budućnost Podgorica
UEFA Europa Conference League
18.07.24	Budućnost Podgorica - Malisheva	3:0 ✺
11.07.24	Malisheva - Budućnost Podgorica	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
01.07.24	Egnatia Rrogozhinë - Budućnost Podgorica	1:2 ✺
28.06.24	Zagłębie Lubin - Budućnost Podgorica	4:3 ✺
25.06.24	Maribor - Budućnost Podgorica	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WLWLL

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