Match Info

BULGARIA: Vtora liga - Round 20

Date: 4 December 2024, Wednesday

Location: Tsarsko Selo Sports Complex (Sofia)


	CSKA 1948 Sofia II		Nesebar

	1	X	2
	1.09	7.8	19
	1.07	9.63	15.14
	1.1	8.24	18.38	Watch
	1.04	8	36
	1.06	8.8	26	Watch
	1.09	7.8	19
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.08 ↓ (1.34)	8.38 ↑ (4.2)	22.25 ↑ (8.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

CSKA 1948 Sofia II
85%

Draw
10.9%

Nesebar
4.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.6%

21.6%

10.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.8%

20.6%

10.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

CSKA 1948 Sofia II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in CSKA 1948 Sofia II's performance.

Nesebar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Nesebar might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for CSKA 1948 Sofia II than the current prediction. (-14.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with CSKA 1948 Sofia II that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nesebar than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Nesebar could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

CSKA 1948 Sofia II - Nesebar Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
67. Alimollov B. (G) 42. Acheampong C. 80. Dimitrov B. 70. Dimitrov V. 55. Georgiev A. (C) 44. Iliev R. 73. Kassem M. 48. Marijanovic R. 47. Sciortino P. 71. Todorov P. 84. Vasilev V.	33. Pepelyashev P. (G) 14. Balinov D. 6. Dalev G. 5. Dimov P. 20. Gavov N. 9. Gelin N. 8. Kunev V. 4. Petrov T. 18. Pyuskyulyu N. (C) 7. Slivov V. 11. Yanev V.
Substitutes
46. Atanasov M. 77. Durolari D. 66. Georgiev G. 57. Ivanov B. 59. Kilov A. 51. Rangelov B. 49. Strinski K. 43. Voynov M.	15. Dalev K. 16. Georgiev H. 13. Ivanov D. 1. Kaishev M. (G) 27. Kostov N. 19. Kozhevnikov O. 99. Parashkevov K. 17. Uzunov A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
16', 1 - 0, ⚽,
36', 🟨,
36', 1 - 1, ⚽,
44', 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
69', 1 - 2, ⚽,
78', 🟨,
81', 🟨,
82', 2 - 2, ⚽,
85', 🟨,
90+1', 2 - 3, ⚽,
90+4', 🟨,
90+5', 🟨,
90+6', 3 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 11 and 20 in the zone Relegation).

CSKA 1948 II is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Nesebar is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match CSKA 1948 II is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches CSKA 1948 II won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CSKA 1948 Sofia II
Bulgarian Vtora Liga
30.11.24	CSKA 1948 Sofia II - Spartak Pleven	2:0 ✺
25.11.24	CSKA Sofia II - CSKA 1948 Sofia II	4:0 ✺
18.11.24	CSKA 1948 Sofia II - Fratria	1:0 ✺
09.11.24	Sportist Svoge - CSKA 1948 Sofia II	1:1 ✺
04.11.24	CSKA 1948 Sofia II - Dobrudzha Dobrich	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WLWTW
- PFC Nesebar
Bulgarian Vtora Liga
30.11.24	Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa - Nesebar	0:0 ✺
23.11.24	Nesebar - Marek Dupnitsa	0:2 ✺
16.11.24	Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo - Nesebar	3:0 ✺
09.11.24	Nesebar - Botev Plovdiv II	0:1 ✺
03.11.24	Strumska Slava Radomir - Nesebar	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 TLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Bulgarian Vtora Liga
20.07.24	Nesebar - CSKA 1948 Sofia II	2:1

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