Match Info

BULGARIA: Vtora liga - Round 15

Date: 3 November 2024, Sunday

Location: Hristo Radovanov Stadium (Radomir)


	Strumska Slava Radomir		Nesebar

	1	X	2
	1.48	3.85	6.2
	1.48	3.84	5.42
	1.5	3.93	6.06	Watch
	1.48	3.82	6.18
	1.48	3.85	6.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.48 ↓ (1.51)	3.86 ↑ (3.64)	6.01 ↓ (6.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Strumska Slava Radomir
61.3%

Draw
23.6%

Nesebar
15.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.3%

25%

14.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.7%

24.4%

14.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Strumska Slava Radomir has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Nesebar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Strumska Slava Radomir than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nesebar than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Strumska Slava Radomir - Nesebar Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Petkov D. (G) 33. Georgiev S. 91. Ivanoff R. 5. Kostov M. 20. Mitsakov D. 2. Nikolov B. (C) 3. Sandev R. 19. Stoilov M. 4. Stoychev L. 9. Vachev T. 8. Yanev G.	33. Pepelyashev P. (G) 6. Dalev G. 15. Dalev K. 5. Dimov P. 20. Gavov N. 9. Gelin N. 99. Parashkevov K. 4. Petrov T. 18. Pyuskyulyu N. (C) 7. Slivov V. 10. Velinov S.
Substitutes
15. Durev T. 7. Iliev E. 11. Ivanov M. 22. Mitov C. 17. Petrov E. 99. Rashkov R. (G)	14. Balinov D. 16. Georgiev H. 13. Ivanov D. 1. Kaishev M. (G) 27. Kostov N. 19. Kozhevnikov O. 17. Uzunov A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
2', 1 - 0, ⚽,
32', 🟨,
41', 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
54', 🟨,
57', 🟨,
59', 🟨,
73', 🟨,
79', 1 - 1, ⚽,
87', 🟨,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 19 in the zone Relegation).

Two teams are in a poor body shape now.

Nesebar could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Strumska Slava is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Strumska Slava won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:3 (average 0.7:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Strumska Slava won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:3 (average 1:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Strumska Slava Radomir
Bulgarian Vtora Liga
24.10.24	Spartak Pleven - Strumska Slava Radomir	2:0 ✺
20.10.24	Strumska Slava Radomir - CSKA Sofia II	1:2 ✺
06.10.24	Fratria - Strumska Slava Radomir	1:1 ✺
28.09.24	Strumska Slava Radomir - Sportist Svoge	1:0 ✺
22.09.24	Dobrudzha Dobrich - Strumska Slava Radomir	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 LLTWL
- PFC Nesebar
Bulgarian Vtora Liga
24.10.24	Nesebar - Belasitsa Petrich	0:0 ✺
18.10.24	Minyor Pernik - Nesebar	0:0 ✺
06.10.24	Nesebar - Yantra Gabrovo	0:3 ✺
28.09.24	Montana - Nesebar	2:0 ✺
21.09.24	Nesebar - Ludogorets II	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.3 TTLLT

Latest Head to Head

Bulgarian Vtora Liga
08.04.19	Nesebar - Strumska Slava Radomir	0:0
21.09.18	Strumska Slava Radomir - Nesebar	2:2
20.10.17	Strumska Slava Radomir - Nesebar	0:1

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