Match Info

BULGARIA: Vtora liga - Round 16

Date: 9 November 2024, Saturday

Location: Gradski stadion (Nesebar)


	Nesebar		Botev Plovdiv II

	1	X	2
	1.52	3.9	5.2
	1.52	4.05	4.59
	1.51	4.21	5.34	Watch
	1.53	3.9	5.3
	1.52	3.9	5.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↓ (1.8)	3.99 ↑ (3.49)	5.13 ↑ (3.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nesebar
59.6%

Draw
22.7%

Botev Plovdiv II
17.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.5%

26%

23.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.5%

22.4%

27.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nesebar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Nesebar's performance.

Botev Plovdiv II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Botev Plovdiv II might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nesebar than the current prediction. (-16.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Nesebar that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Botev Plovdiv II than the current prediction. (+9.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Botev Plovdiv II could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Nesebar - Botev Plovdiv II Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Pepelyashev P. (G) 6. Dalev G. 15. Dalev K. 5. Dimov P. 20. Gavov N. 9. Gelin N. 16. Georgiev H. 4. Petrov T. 18. Pyuskyulyu N. (C) 7. Slivov V. 10. Velinov S.	23. Nikolov A. (G) 10. Bonev B. (C) 6. Diabate S. 15. Dikliev D. 7. Marinov B. 9. Pavlov K. 8. Piloyan E. 5. Tatarov K. 16. Todorov S. 3. Videv I. 20. Zlatanov G.
Substitutes
14. Balinov D. 13. Ivanov D. 1. Kaishev M. (G) 27. Kostov N. 19. Kozhevnikov O. 99. Parashkevov K. 17. Uzunov A.	14. Ayvazov Y. 19. Georgiev M. 18. Kartalov A. 11. Kolev K. 4. Kushtinarov G. 1. Rusev D. (G) 17. Simeonov M. 13. Sitev M. 2. Van Heertum J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
7', 🟨,
13', 🟨,
32', 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
66', 🟨,
78', 🟨,
89', 0 - 1, ⚽,
90+3', 🟨,
90+3', 🟨,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- PFC Nesebar
Bulgarian Vtora Liga
03.11.24	Strumska Slava Radomir - Nesebar	1:1 ✺
24.10.24	Nesebar - Belasitsa Petrich	0:0 ✺
18.10.24	Minyor Pernik - Nesebar	0:0 ✺
06.10.24	Nesebar - Yantra Gabrovo	0:3 ✺
28.09.24	Montana - Nesebar	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.8 TTTLL
- Botev Plovdiv II
Bulgarian Vtora Liga
05.11.24	Botev Plovdiv II - Spartak Pleven	0:1 ✺
30.10.24	CSKA Sofia II - Botev Plovdiv II	2:0 ✺
20.10.24	Botev Plovdiv II - Fratria	2:2 ✺
06.10.24	Sportist Svoge - Botev Plovdiv II	2:1 ✺
28.09.24	Botev Plovdiv II - Dobrudzha Dobrich	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLTLL

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