Match Info

Date: 17 September 2020, Thursday


	CSKA Sofia		BATE Borisov

	1	X	2
	2	3.2	3.5	Watch
	2.1	3.2	3.2
	2.1	3.3	3.55
	2.02	3.1	3.45
	2.06	3.36	3.81
	2.05	3.2	3.4
	1.95	3.4	3.8	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.04 ↓ (2.4)	3.25 ↓ (3.26)	3.53 ↑ (2.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

CSKA Sofia
45.3%

Draw
28.5%

BATE Borisov
26.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.1%

28.1%

33.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.5%

19.5%

48.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

CSKA Sofia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in CSKA Sofia's performance.

BATE Borisov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and BATE Borisov might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for CSKA Sofia than the current prediction. (-18.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with CSKA Sofia that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for BATE Borisov than the current prediction. (+22.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that BATE Borisov could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
74.2%	11.3%	14.5%

CSKA Sofia - BATE Borisov Predictions

Users Predictions: 62 users predict this event. CSKA Sofia will win (votes: 46 - 74.2%). BATE will win (votes: 9 - 14.5%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 11.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for CSKA Sofia: 63.3% – 85.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

No spectators.

CSKA Sofia in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

BATE is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

CSKA Sofia will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CSKA Sofia
Bulgarian Parva Liga
12.09.20	Cherno More Varna - CSKA Sofia	1:1 ✺
30.08.20	CSKA Sofia - Slavia Sofia	1:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
27.08.20	CSKA Sofia - Sirens	2:1 ✺
Bulgarian Parva Liga
22.08.20	Botev Vratsa - CSKA Sofia	1:2 ✺
16.08.20	CSKA Sofia - Botev Plovdiv	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 TWWWW
- BATE Borisov
Belarusian Vysshaya Liga
12.09.20	BATE Borisov - Smolevichi	5:2 ✺
Belarusian Cup
29.08.20	Granit Mikashevichi - BATE Borisov	0:5 ✺
Belarusian Vysshaya Liga
23.08.20	Neman Grodno - BATE Borisov	0:2 ✺
08.08.20	BATE Borisov - Gorodeja	1:0 ✺
02.08.20	Torpedo-BelAZ - BATE Borisov	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WWWWL

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