Match Info

efbet League - Round 19

Date: 6 December 2025, Saturday

Location: Ticha (Varna)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Diema Sport, Play Diema Xtra


	Cherno More Varna		CSKA Sofia

	1	X	2
	4.1	3.2	1.96	Watch
	3.85	3.1	1.95	Watch
	4.13	3.18	2.04
	4	3.21	1.99	Watch
	3.75	3	1.95
	3.91	3.13	2.01	Watch
	4	3.33	1.96
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.96 ↑ (3.35)	3.16 ↓ (3.18)	1.98 ↓ (2.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cherno More Varna
23.5%

Draw
29.4%

CSKA Sofia
47.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.9%

29.4%

42.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.5%

29%

43.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cherno More Varna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

CSKA Sofia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cherno More Varna than the current prediction. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for CSKA Sofia than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	42.9%	42.9%

Cherno More Varna - CSKA Sofia Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Cherno More will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). CSKA Sofia will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
81. Tomov K. (G) 8. Donchev A. 3. Atanasov Z. 28. Drobarov V. 26. Joao Bandaro 29. Beyhan B. 71. Panayotov V. (C) 99. Weslen Junior 10. Chandarov A. 39. Zlatev N. 19. Lazarov G.	21. Lapoukhov F. (G) 2. Pastor 4. Lapena A. (C) 5. Dellova L. 17. Martino A. 6. Jordao B. 73. Iliev I. 99. Eto'o J. 30. Panayotov P. 28. Pittas I. 9. Godoy L.
Substitutes
9. Gustavo Franca 11. Joao Pedro 22. Kostadinov N. 70. Manasiev A. (G) 13. Nyagolov E. 20. Phellipe 4. Stefanov R. 24. Teles D. 50. Tombak E.	1. Busatto G. (G) 13. Cordoba B. 22. Dodaj K. 24. Iliev Y. 14. Ivanov T. 3. Sanyang S. 8. Seger D. 7. Skarsem O. 19. Turitsov I.
Coaches
Iliev I.	Yanev H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
38', Eto'o J. 🟨,
40', 1 - 0, Weslen Junior ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Panayotov P. ↓, Skarsem O. ↑,
55', Weslen Junior 🟨,
62', Jordao B. 🟨,
65', 2 - 0, Lazarov G. ⚽, Panayotov V. (A),
68', Skarsem O. 🟨,
70', Weslen Junior ↓, Gustavo Franca ↑,
70', Godoy L. ↓, Ivanov T. ↑,
76', Beyhan B. ↓, Teles D. ↑,
77', Martino A. ↓, Turitsov I. ↑,
81', Donchev A. 🟨,
90+3', Chandarov A. ↓, Kostadinov N. ↑,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ efbet League (Conference League Group: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ efbet League (Championship Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cherno More won 0.

In recent matches, Cherno More has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

CSKA Sofia is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).

In this match, CSKA Sofia is the team to beat.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cherno More won 4 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 12:21. (average 0.6:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Cherno More won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:6. (average 0.3:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cherno More Varna
Bulgarian Parva Liga
03.12.25	Beroe Stara Zagora - Cherno More Varna	1:2 ✺
29.11.25	Botev Plovdiv - Cherno More Varna	2:1 ✺
22.11.25	Cherno More Varna - Lokomotiv Sofia	0:1 ✺
09.11.25	CSKA 1948 Sofia - Cherno More Varna	0:1 ✺
02.11.25	Cherno More Varna - Ludogorets Razgrad	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 WLLWT
- CSKA Sofia
Bulgarian Parva Liga
03.12.25	CSKA Sofia - Lokomotiv Plovdiv	2:1 ✺
29.11.25	Spartak Varna - CSKA Sofia	0:4 ✺
22.11.25	CSKA Sofia - Botev Plovdiv	2:1 ✺
08.11.25	Levski Sofia - CSKA Sofia	0:1 ✺
02.11.25	CSKA Sofia - Montana	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Bulgarian Parva Liga
09.08.25	CSKA Sofia - Cherno More Varna	0:0
Bulgarian Cup
22.04.25	CSKA Sofia - Cherno More Varna	2:1
09.04.25	Cherno More Varna - CSKA Sofia	0:0
Bulgarian Parva Liga
15.03.25	CSKA Sofia - Cherno More Varna	1:1
28.09.24	Cherno More Varna - CSKA Sofia	0:0
23.05.24	CSKA Sofia - Cherno More Varna	0:1
24.02.24	Cherno More Varna - CSKA Sofia	1:0

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