The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
CSKA Sofia 64.9%
Draw 22.1%
Cherno More Varna 13%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
65.3%
22.1%
12.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
67.5%
21.4%
12.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
CSKA Sofia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
Cherno More Varna has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for CSKA Sofia than the current prediction. (+2.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cherno More Varna than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
92.3%
0%
7.7%
CSKA Sofia - Cherno More Varna Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. CSKA Sofia (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
CSKA Sofia will win
(12 of 13 users predict this - 92.31%). Confidence interval (95%): 77.83% โ 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
21. Lapoukhov F. (G) 11. Brahimi M. 5. Gbamin J. 14. Ivanov T. 19. Yordanov A. 6. Jordao B. 67. Itu C. 99. Eto'o J. 94. Solet I. 30. Panayotov P. 10. Zwarts J.
81. Tomov K. (G) 50. Tombak E. 3. Atanasov Z. 5. Squadrone L. 37. Kerchev V. 71. Panayotov V. 24. Teles D. 7. Barandas M. 10. Sidney C. 11. Achi M. 19. Lazarov G.
Substitutes
80. Chorbadzhiyski G. B. 7. Ebong M. 25. Evtimov D. (G) 9. Godoy L. 34. Kaymakanov V. 38. Leo Pereira 2. Pastor 28. Pittas I. 32. Rodriguez F. 8. Sensi S. 91. Tunchev A.
18. Andreev P. 29. Beyhan B. 99. Bounaas I. 31. Hristov D. (G) 26. Joao Bandaro 22. Kostadinov N. 13. Nyagolov E. 9. Padilla J. 17. Tasev I. 14. Todorov A. 93. Ventsislavov G.
Coaches
Yanev H.
Iliev I.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 1)
12', Brahimi M. 🟨,
20', 1 - 0, Sensi S. ⚽,
28', Kerchev V. 🟨,
30', 2 - 0, Zwarts J. ⚽,
39', 2 - 1, Sidney C. ⚽,
43', Squadrone L. 🟨,
45+3', Teles D. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
48', Rodriguez F. 🟨,
49', Atanasov Z. 🟨,
52', Lapoukhov F. 🟨,
62', Brahimi M. ↓, Pastor ↑,
62', Solet I. ↓, Eto'o J. ↑,
67', Lazarov G. ↓, Padilla J. ↑,
75', Donchev A. ↓, Joao Bandaro ↑,
75', Achi M. ↓, Barandas M. ↑,
76', Pittas I. ↓, Godoy L. ↑,
78', Panayotov P. 🟨,
86', 3 - 1, Godoy L. ⚽,
87', Kerchev V. ↓, Bounaas I. ↑,
89', Panayotov P. ↓, Jordao B. ↑,
Preview
One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ efbet League (Championship Group: ) and 10 in the zone efbet League (Relegation Group: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, CSKA Sofia won 1.
CSKA Sofia has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Cherno More has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins โ 1).
CSKA Sofia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, CSKA Sofia is the obvious favorite.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, CSKA Sofia won 9 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 20:11. (average 1:0.6).
Including home matches between the teams, CSKA Sofia won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:7. (average 1.3:0.6).