Match Info

Europa League - Qualification - Semi-finals

Date: 13 August 2026, Thursday

Location: National Stadium Vasil Levski (Sofia)

Referee: Schlager D. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Diema Sport, Play Diema Xtra
Israel	Sport 1
Usa	SportsEngine Play
World	OneFootball TV


	CSKA Sofia		Maccabi Tel Aviv

	1	X	2
	2.38	3.25	2.75	Watch
	2.40	3.40	2.85
	2.42	3.3	2.78	Watch
	2.43	3.44	2.91
	2.43	3.39	2.88	Watch
	2.4	3.4	2.85
	2.48	3.43	2.98	Watch
	2.38	3.25	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.42 ↑ (2.17)	3.36 ↑ (3.28)	2.86 ↓ (3.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

CSKA Sofia
39%

Draw
28%

Maccabi Tel Aviv
33%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.1%

28.5%

28.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.4%

27.1%

27%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

CSKA Sofia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

Maccabi Tel Aviv has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for CSKA Sofia than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for CSKA Sofia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maccabi Tel Aviv than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Maccabi Tel Aviv, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40.9%	27.3%	31.8%

CSKA Sofia - Maccabi Tel Aviv Predictions

Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. CSKA Sofia will win (votes: 9 - 40.9%). Maccabi Tel Aviv will win (votes: 7 - 31.8%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 27.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for CSKA Sofia: 20.4% – 61.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. CSKA Sofia (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2 - over (1.51) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Lapoukhov F. (G) 2. Pastor 14. Ivanov T. 32. Rodriguez F. 19. Yordanov A. 5. Gbamin J. 6. Jordao B. (C) 8. Sensi S. 7. Ebong M. 9. Godoy L. 28. Pittas I.	22. Melika O. (G) 6. Asante T. 5. Camara M. 13. Shlomo R. 3. Revivo R. 42. Peretz D. (C) 28. Sissokho I. 36. Shahar I. 77. Davida O. 9. Sokler E. 29. Varela H.
Substitutes
11. Brahimi M. 80. Chorbadzhiyski G. B. 99. Eto'o J. 25. Evtimov D. (G) 34. Kaymakanov V. 38. Leo Pereira 31. Nikolov D. (G) 30. Panayotov P. 77. Piedrahita A. 94. Solet I. 91. Tunchev A. 10. Zwarts J.	34. Abu Farkhi S. 10. Andrade K. 23. Azo O. N. 41. Ben Hamo I. 21. Ben Harush N. 60. Ben Simon I. 18. Glazer D. 19. Madmon E. 90. Mishpati R. (G) 30. Noy I. 25. Rosen S. 24. Schwartz N.
Coaches
Yanev H.	Miller K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
7', (Penalty overturned),
12', 0 - 1, Peretz D. ⚽, Davida O. (A),
26', Jordao B. 🟨,
31', Peretz D. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Jordao B. ↓, Eto'o J. ↑,
54', Camara M. ↓, Ben Harush N. ↑,
56', Sensi S. 🟨,
61', 0 - 2, Sokler E. ⚽, Davida O. (A),
66', 1 - 2, Sensi S. ⚽, Eto'o J. (A),
69', 1 - 3, Lapoukhov F. (Own goal),
69', Godoy L. ↓, Zwarts J. ↑,
73', Yordanov A. ↓, Brahimi M. ↑,
78', Sokler E. ↓, Abu Farkhi S. ↑,
78', Davida O. ↓, Madmon E. ↑,
80', Sissokho I. 🟨,
82', Madmon E. 🟨,
84', Shahar I. ↓, Andrade K. ↑,
88', Ebong M. 🟨,

Preview

First leg result: 3-0.

CSKA Sofia has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Maccabi Tel Aviv has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Maccabi Tel Aviv may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, CSKA Sofia won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CSKA Sofia
Bulgarian Parva Liga
09.08.26	Septemvri Sofia - CSKA Sofia	0:3 ✺
UEFA Europa League
06.08.26	Maccabi Tel Aviv - CSKA Sofia	0:3 ✺
Bulgarian Parva Liga
02.08.26	CSKA Sofia - Dunav Ruse	2:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
30.07.26	CSKA Sofia - Qarabağ Agdam	1:0 penalties ✺
Bulgarian Parva Liga
27.07.26	CSKA Sofia - Botev Plovdiv	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.9 WWWWW
- Maccabi Tel Aviv
UEFA Europa League
06.08.26	Maccabi Tel Aviv - CSKA Sofia	0:3 ✺
30.07.26	Maccabi Tel Aviv - Sheriff Tiraspol	1:0 ✺
23.07.26	Sheriff Tiraspol - Maccabi Tel Aviv	0:5 ✺
Israeli Super Cup
16.07.26	Hapoel Beer Sheva - Maccabi Tel Aviv	1:3 ✺
Club Friendly
03.07.26	IMT Novi Beograd - Maccabi Tel Aviv	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa League
06.08.26	Maccabi Tel Aviv - CSKA Sofia	0:3

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