Match Info

Date: 26 August 2021, Thursday


	CSKA Sofia		Viktoria Plzeň

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.3	2.87	Watch
	2.25	3.2	2.8	Watch
	2.35	3.35	2.95
	2.21	3.15	3
	2.29	3.27	3.11
	2.38	3	2.7
	2.3	3.26	3.04	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.29 ↓ (2.34)	3.22 ↓ (3.22)	2.92 ↑ (2.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

CSKA Sofia
40.1%

Draw
28.5%

Viktoria Plzeň
31.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39%

28.4%

32.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.5%

20%

46.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

CSKA Sofia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Viktoria Plzeň has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for CSKA Sofia than the current prediction. (-12.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with CSKA Sofia that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Viktoria Plzeň than the current prediction. (+14.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Viktoria Plzeň could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
53.1%	18.7%	28.1%

CSKA Sofia - Viktoria Plzeň Predictions

Users Predictions: 32 users predict this event. CSKA Sofia will win (votes: 17 - 53.1%). Plzeň will win (votes: 9 - 28.1%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 18.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for CSKA Sofia: 35.8% – 70.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 0-2.

CSKA Sofia is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Plzeň is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Plzeň could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Plzeň have a series of home games.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches CSKA Sofia won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-6.

Including matches at home between the teams CSKA Sofia won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CSKA Sofia
Bulgarian Parva Liga
22.08.21	CSKA Sofia - Pirin Blagoevgrad	1:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
19.08.21	Viktoria Plzeň - CSKA Sofia	2:0 ✺
12.08.21	Osijek - CSKA Sofia	1:1 ✺
05.08.21	CSKA Sofia - Osijek	4:2 ✺
29.07.21	Liepāja - CSKA Sofia	0:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 WLTWW
- Viktoria Plzeň
Czech 1 Liga
22.08.21	Viktoria Plzeň - Karviná	2:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
19.08.21	Viktoria Plzeň - CSKA Sofia	2:0 ✺
Czech 1 Liga
15.08.21	Slovan Liberec - Viktoria Plzeň	0:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
12.08.21	Viktoria Plzeň - The New Saints	4:1 penalties ✺
Czech 1 Liga
08.08.21	Viktoria Plzeň - Slovácko	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa Conference League
19.08.21	Viktoria Plzeň - CSKA Sofia	2:0
Club Friendly
31.01.20	CSKA Sofia - Viktoria Plzeň	0:3
28.01.19	Viktoria Plzeň - CSKA Sofia	1:2

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