Match Info

Date: 5 August 2021, Thursday


	CSKA Sofia		Osijek

	1	X	2
	3	3.2	2.25	Watch
	2.95	2.8	2.4
	3.2	2.9	2.52	Watch
	3.15	2.85	2.22
	3.28	2.95	2.38
	2.8	2.9	2.38
	3.14	3.02	2.38	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.07 ↑ (2.81)	2.95 ↓ (3.09)	2.36 ↓ (2.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

CSKA Sofia
29.9%

Draw
31.2%

Osijek
38.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.4%

29.4%

38.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.4%

21.3%

52.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

CSKA Sofia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Osijek has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for CSKA Sofia than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with CSKA Sofia that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Osijek than the current prediction. (+13.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Osijek could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	29.6%	37%

CSKA Sofia - Osijek Predictions

Users Predictions: 27 users predict this event. CSKA Sofia will win (votes: 9 - 33.3%). Osijek will win (votes: 10 - 37%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 29.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Osijek: 18.8% – 55.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

1st leg. Neutral location - Nacionalen Stadion Vasil Levski.

Recent matches CSKA Sofia is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Osijek is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Osijek could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 2 head-to-head matches CSKA Sofia won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Including matches at home between the teams CSKA Sofia won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CSKA Sofia
UEFA Europa Conference League
29.07.21	Liepāja - CSKA Sofia	0:1 penalties ✺
Bulgarian Parva Liga
25.07.21	CSKA 1948 Sofia - CSKA Sofia	2:4 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
22.07.21	CSKA Sofia - Liepāja	0:0 ✺
Bulgarian Super Cup
17.07.21	Ludogorets Razgrad - CSKA Sofia	4:0 ✺
Club Friendly
07.07.21	CSKA Sofia - Qarabağ Agdam	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WWTLL
- NK Osijek
Croatian HNL
01.08.21	Osijek - Slaven Belupo	0:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
29.07.21	Osijek - Pogoń Szczecin	1:0 ✺
Croatian HNL
25.07.21	Hajduk Split - Osijek	1:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
22.07.21	Pogoń Szczecin - Osijek	0:0 ✺
Croatian HNL
16.07.21	Osijek - Šibenik	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 TWWTW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa League
01.08.19	Osijek - CSKA Sofia	1:1
25.07.19	CSKA Sofia - Osijek	1:0

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