Match Info

Date: 29 July 2021, Thursday


	Liepāja		CSKA Sofia

	1	X	2
				Watch
	4.5	3.25	1.72	Watch
	4.75	3.3	1.8
	4.3	3.15	1.76
	4.27	3.09	1.83
	4	3	1.83
	4.33	3.25	1.84
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.36 ↑ (3.26)	3.17 ↓ (3.34)	1.8 ↓ (2.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Liepāja
20.8%

Draw
28.6%

CSKA Sofia
50.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.1%

27.4%

44.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43%

17.9%

29.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Liepāja has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Liepāja's form might have worsened.

CSKA Sofia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting CSKA Sofia's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Liepāja than the current prediction. (+22.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Liepāja, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for CSKA Sofia than the current prediction. (-21.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for CSKA Sofia, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
3.4%	6.7%	89.9%

Liepāja - CSKA Sofia Predictions

Users Predictions: CSKA Sofia will win (107 of 119 users predict this - 89.92%).
Confidence interval (95%): 84.51% – 95.33%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 0-0.

Liepāja is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

CSKA Sofia is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

CSKA Sofia could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match CSKA Sofia is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Liepāja won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Liepāja
UEFA Europa Conference League
22.07.21	CSKA Sofia - Liepāja	0:0 ✺
15.07.21	Struga - Liepāja	1:4 ✺
08.07.21	Liepāja - Struga	1:1 ✺
Latvian Virsliga
01.07.21	Liepāja - Riga	1:0 ✺
26.06.21	Liepāja - Metta	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19 TWTWW
- CSKA Sofia
Bulgarian Parva Liga
25.07.21	CSKA 1948 Sofia - CSKA Sofia	2:4 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
22.07.21	CSKA Sofia - Liepāja	0:0 ✺
Bulgarian Super Cup
17.07.21	Ludogorets Razgrad - CSKA Sofia	4:0 ✺
Club Friendly
07.07.21	CSKA Sofia - Qarabağ Agdam	0:1 ✺
04.07.21	Werder Bremen - CSKA Sofia	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 WTLLL

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa Conference League
22.07.21	CSKA Sofia - Liepāja	0:0

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