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Current Win Probability
CSKA Sofia II 51.7%
Draw 27.6%
Marek Dupnitsa 20.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
59.8%
25.1%
15.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
60.4%
24.9%
15%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
CSKA Sofia II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that CSKA Sofia II's form might have worsened.
Marek Dupnitsa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Marek Dupnitsa's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for CSKA Sofia II than the current prediction. (+8.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for CSKA Sofia II, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marek Dupnitsa than the current prediction. (-5.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Marek Dupnitsa, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
CSKA Sofia II - Marek Dupnitsa Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
10', 🟨,
19', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
54', 🟨,
60', 🟨,
81', 🟨,
83', 🟥,
90+2', 🟨,
90+4', 🟨,
Preview
This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 5 and 16 in the zone Relegation).
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
Marek may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, CSKA Sofia II is the undisputed favorite.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, CSKA Sofia II won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 0.7:1.3).
Including home match between the teams, CSKA Sofia II won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.