Match Info

Vtora liga - Round 11

Date: 26 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Lokomotiv stadium (Gorna Orjahovica)


	Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa		Marek Dupnitsa

	1	X	2
	2.00	2.90	3.40
	2.07	3.05	4.15
	2.18	3.06	3.32	Watch
	2.04	2.55	4.10
	1.99	3.17	3.78
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.06 ↓ (2.09)	2.95 ↓ (2.96)	3.75 ↑ (3.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa
44.5%

Draw
31.1%

Marek Dupnitsa
24.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43%

30.4%

26.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.7%

29.9%

26.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Marek Dupnitsa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marek Dupnitsa than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa - Marek Dupnitsa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ganev G. (G) 4. Acheampong C. 10. Avramov I. 5. Georgiev D. 17. Georgiev S. 11. Iliev D. 26. Ivanov M. 9. Ivanov Z. 19. Paskov P. 16. Raykov T. 6. Todorski M.	21. Kostadinov K. (G) 38. Dyulgerov A. 90. Georgiev P. 44. Kaymakanski H. 13. Lyubomirov V. 16. Mechev S. 11. Miletic M. 3. Petkov M. 2. Plyakov N. 55. Sandev R. 23. Viyachki E.
Substitutes
24. Chukurliev S. 8. Matos T. 20. Mauro Ribeiro 12. Milushev K. (G) 15. Petrov P. 7. Rangelov B. 23. Raychev K. 3. Romanyuk E. 2. Stoykov S. 27. Tsachev Y. 21. Yordanov S.	88. Ajoku E. 10. Ganchev N. 22. Georgiev M. 19. Goranov D. 71. Kaninski K. 72. Krastev M. 12. Mladenov P. (G) 9. Velichkov B. 18. Yordanov R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
15', 🟨,
25', 🟨,
34', 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
50', 🟨,
74', 🟨,
88', 🟨,

Preview

A tightly contested fixture between two evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 9th and 13th in the Vtora liga (Relegation)).

Both teams have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Gorna Oryahovitsa has recorded 1 win, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 5:5 (averaging 1.3:1.3 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Gorna Oryahovitsa against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 4:2 goals (averaging 2:1 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Lok. Gorna	11	4	4	3	9:10	-1	16
12	Marek	11	4	2	5	11:12	-1	14

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa
Bulgarian Vtora Liga
20.09.26	Yantra Gabrovo - Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa	0:1 ✺
15.09.26	Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa - Nesebar	1:1 ✺
07.09.26	Sportist Svoge - Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa	0:0 ✺
03.09.26	Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa - Dobrudzha Dobrich	2:0 ✺
30.08.26	Montana - Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.2 WTTWL
- PFC Marek Dupnitsa
Bulgarian Vtora Liga
20.09.26	Marek Dupnitsa - Rilski Sportist	1:3 ✺
13.09.26	Marek Dupnitsa - Pirin Blagoevgrad	3:0 ✺
06.09.26	Yantra Gabrovo - Marek Dupnitsa	3:0 ✺
02.09.26	Marek Dupnitsa - Nesebar	1:0 ✺
29.08.26	Sportist Svoge - Marek Dupnitsa	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LWLWT

Latest Head to Head

Bulgarian Vtora Liga
21.03.26	Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa - Marek Dupnitsa	0:1
13.09.25	Marek Dupnitsa - Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa	1:1
29.03.25	Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa - Marek Dupnitsa	4:1
14.09.24	Marek Dupnitsa - Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa	2:0

Upcoming Matches